82,975
edits
Amwelladmin (talk | contribs) No edit summary |
Amwelladmin (talk | contribs) No edit summary |
||
Line 1: | Line 1: | ||
{{a|devil| | |||
[[File:Trajektorie eines Doppelpendels.gif|450px|thumb|center|Something simple but utterly unpredictable, yesterday]] | |||
}}Something that should be so utterly obvious it need not be said, but which nevertheless forms the backbone of the [[Past results are no guarantee of future performance|most common disclaimer on the planet]]. That we know only what we know, and cannot know what comes next, is a lesson that should have been beaten into us — with fables such as the [[inductive turkey]] who gets quite the surprise come Christmas, the [[jointed pendulum]], the disastrous history of the financial markets — but which has been underestimated by reductionist types who labour under the illusion — ''delusion'', really — that future states of the world can somehow be extrapolated for past ones. | |||
{{sa}} | {{sa}} | ||
*[[Past results are no guarantee of future performance]] | |||
*The [[Quickening]] | *The [[Quickening]] | ||
*[[Backtesting]] | *[[Backtesting]] | ||
*[[Profound ontological uncertainty]] | *[[Profound ontological uncertainty]] | ||
{{todo}} | {{todo}} |