Capital allocation: Difference between revisions

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{{a|banking|}}{{quote|The more things change, the more they stay the same.}}
{{a|banking|}}{{quote|The more things change, the more they stay the same.}}
When considering whether [[this time is different]], it is well to look beyond [[substance]] and [[form]] to see whether the age old business of capital allocation is really changing. Financial services is, substantially, a very basic thing. That basic thing happens to be intrinsically very risky. All of the colossal complication that we know, love, and we rent-seeking agents secrete ourselves into the loving satin folds of, arises by way of ''mitigation'' of that fundamental risk. If you give existing [[pure value]] — abstract, disembodied worth, most commonly articulated in the form of [[money]] — to someone else in the hope they will generate ''more'' [[pure value]], and thereby return some extra [[pure value]] to you, if things go wrong, ''you might not get your money back''.call this the one law of finance:
When considering whether [[this time is different]], it is well to look beyond [[substance]] and [[form]] to see whether the age old business of capital allocation is really changing. Financial services is, substantially, a very basic thing. That basic thing happens to be intrinsically very risky. All of the colossal complication that we know, love, and we rent-seeking agents secrete ourselves into the loving satin folds of, arises by way of ''mitigation'' of that fundamental risk. If you give existing [[pure value]] — abstract, disembodied worth, most commonly articulated in the form of [[money]] — to someone else in the hope they will generate ''more'' [[pure value]], and thereby return some extra [[pure value]] to you, if things go wrong, ''you might not get your money back''.


{{Quote|Whenever you stand to make money, you may lose money.}}  
Call this the [[one law of finance]]:
 
{{Quote|If you stand to make money, you stand to lose money.}}  


If a new invention comes along which falsifies this basic principle then things really are different.  
If a new invention comes along which falsifies this basic principle then things really are different.  


The JC’s proposition is that ''no such invention is possible''. That contavenes the known laws of physics.  Any such invention would be a perpetual motion machine.
The JC’s proposition is that ''no such invention is possible''. That contravenes the known laws of physics.  Any such invention would be a perpetual motion machine.


From time to time new paradigms will emerge, and people who should know better will believe this principle has been broken. Internet commerce. Renewable energy. [[AI]]. [[Cryptocurrency]].
From time to time new paradigms will emerge, and people who should know better will believe this principle has been broken: Internet commerce. Renewable energy. [[AI]]. [[Cryptocurrency]].


But none of these falsifies the one law.
But none of these falsifies the [[One law of finance|one law]].


=== First order activities===
=== First order activities===