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{{a|banking|}}{{quote|The more things change, the more they stay the same.}} | {{a|banking|}}{{quote|The more things change, the more they stay the same.}} | ||
When considering whether [[this time is different]], it is well to look beyond [[substance]] and [[form]] to see whether the age old business of capital allocation is really changing. Financial services is, substantially, a very basic thing. That basic thing happens to be intrinsically very risky. All of the colossal complication that we know, love, and we rent-seeking agents secrete ourselves into the loving satin folds of, arises by way of ''mitigation'' of that fundamental risk. If you give existing [[pure value]] — abstract, disembodied worth, most commonly articulated in the form of [[money]] — to someone else in the hope they will generate ''more'' [[pure value]], and thereby return some extra [[pure value]] to you, if things go wrong, ''you might not get your money back''. | When considering whether [[this time is different]], it is well to look beyond [[substance]] and [[form]] to see whether the age old business of capital allocation is really changing. Financial services is, substantially, a very basic thing. That basic thing happens to be intrinsically very risky. All of the colossal complication that we know, love, and we rent-seeking agents secrete ourselves into the loving satin folds of, arises by way of ''mitigation'' of that fundamental risk. If you give existing [[pure value]] — abstract, disembodied worth, most commonly articulated in the form of [[money]] — to someone else in the hope they will generate ''more'' [[pure value]], and thereby return some extra [[pure value]] to you, if things go wrong, ''you might not get your money back''. | ||
{{Quote| | Call this the [[one law of finance]]: | ||
{{Quote|If you stand to make money, you stand to lose money.}} | |||
If a new invention comes along which falsifies this basic principle then things really are different. | If a new invention comes along which falsifies this basic principle then things really are different. | ||
The JC’s proposition is that ''no such invention is possible''. That | The JC’s proposition is that ''no such invention is possible''. That contravenes the known laws of physics. Any such invention would be a perpetual motion machine. | ||
From time to time new paradigms will emerge, and people who should know better will believe this principle has been broken | From time to time new paradigms will emerge, and people who should know better will believe this principle has been broken: Internet commerce. Renewable energy. [[AI]]. [[Cryptocurrency]]. | ||
But none of these falsifies the one law. | But none of these falsifies the [[One law of finance|one law]]. | ||
=== First order activities=== | === First order activities=== |