Template:M intro technology rumours of our demise: Difference between revisions

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“Today,” he warned, “we have people doing work like robots. Tomorrow, we will have ''robots behaving like people''”.
“Today,” he warned, “we have people doing work like robots. Tomorrow, we will have ''robots behaving like people''”.


You can see where he was coming from: what with high-frequency trading [[algorithm]]s, [[AI]] medical diagnosis, [[Alpha Go]], self-driving cars: the machines were coming for us. The machines have taken over our routine tasks; soon they will take the ''hard'' stuff, too. And Cryan articulated himself before “[[large language model]]” was even part of the vernacular.
You can see where he was coming from: what with high-frequency trading [[algorithm]]s, [[AI]] medical diagnosis, [[Alpha Go]], self-driving cars: the machines were coming for us. And this was before GPT-3. It has only got worse since: The machines have taken over our routine tasks; soon they will take the ''hard'' stuff, too.  


Now.  
Now.  
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But that’s an important condition: as George Gilder put it:  
But that’s an important condition: as George Gilder put it:  
{{Quote|“The claim of superhuman performance seems rather overwrought to me. Outperforming unaided human beings is what machines are supposed to do. That’s why we build them.”<ref>{{br|Life After Google: The Fall of Big Data and the Rise of the Blockchain Economy}} (2018)</ref>}}
{{Quote|“The claim of superhuman performance seems rather overwrought to me. Outperforming unaided human beings is what machines are supposed to do. That’s why we build them.”<ref>{{br|Life After Google: The Fall of Big Data and the Rise of the Blockchain Economy}} (2018)</ref>}}
===The [[division of labour]]===
===The [[division of labour]]===
Nowadays, we must distinguish between ''traditional'', obedient, rule-following machies, and ''randomly-make-it-up'' [[large language model]]s — unthinking, probabilistic, ''pattern-matching machines''. [[LLM]]s are the novelty act of 2023, at the top of their hype cycle right now, like [[Blockchain|blockchain]], was a year ago, and like [[DLT]] they will struggle to find an enduring use case.  
Nowadays, we must distinguish between ''traditional'', obedient, rule-following machies, and ''randomly-make-it-up'' [[large language model]]s — unthinking, probabilistic, ''pattern-matching machines''. [[LLM]]s are the novelty act of 2023, at the top of their hype cycle right now, like [[Blockchain|blockchain]], was a year ago, and like [[DLT]] they will struggle to find an enduring use case.