Bad apple: Difference between revisions

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{{a|systems|{{image|bad apple|jpg|}}}}{{dpn|/bæd ˈæpl/|n|}}One of those mischievous human imps occupying unobserved crevices in the great steampunk machine who, by their human frailty, ruin the best-laid plans of the machines.
{{a|systems|{{image|bad apple|jpg|}}}}{{dpn|/bæd ˈæpl/|n|}}One of those mischievous human imps occupying unobserved crevices in the great steampunk machine who, by their human frailty, ruin the best-laid plans of the machines.


On the convenional wisdom, [[bad apple]]s find and exploit [[Zero-day vulnerability|zero-day flaws]] in the system, ''which is [[Air crashes v financial crashes|what we should expect bad apples to do]]''. These they will find them exactly where the system least expects them to be found, and is therefore not looking: apparently harmless, sleepy backwaters. [[LIBOR]] submissions. Delta-one stock index swaps. [[Archegos|margin lending]].
On the conventional wisdom, [[bad apple]]s are the remaining fly in the ointment between us and the sunlit uplands of [[financial services utopia]]. Once the last one can be removed all will be well in perpetuity.


But who the bad apples are depends on who is asking, and, critically, ''when''.
The JC wonders whether we should be quite so surprised. Bad apples gonna be bad.  They will always find and exploit [[Zero-day vulnerability|zero-day flaws]] in the system, ''which is [[Air crashes v financial crashes|what we should expect bad apples to do]]''. These they will find them exactly where the system least expects them to be found, and is therefore not looking: apparently harmless, sleepy backwaters. [[LIBOR]] submissions. [[Enron|The accounting department]]. The [[Kweku Abodoli|Delta-one index swaps desk]]. In a [[Archegos|family office]].
 
But ''who'' the bad apples are depends on who is asking, and, critically, ''when''.


Often, the people who look like heroes — NASDAQ chairmen, visionary innovators, star traders —''before'' the fact only start to look like bad apples ''after'' it. And vice versa.
Often, the people who look like heroes — NASDAQ chairmen, visionary innovators, star traders —''before'' the fact only start to look like bad apples ''after'' it. And vice versa.
===Before and after fact: a play in two acts===
===Before and after fact: a play in two acts===
Quiz time: taking the information supplied about who everyone thought was hero and bad apple before a famous catastrophe, fill in who you think was who ''after'' the event.


====Before-the-fact====
{| class="wikitable"
*'''Heroes''': Nick Leeson, Jeff Skilling, Ken Lay, Jerome Kerviel, Kweku Abodoli, Elizabeth Holmes, Arif Naqvid, Charlie Javis, Jo Lo, Bernie Madoff, Sam Bankman-Fried.
|+ Caption text
|-
! Incident !! colspan="2"|Before !!colspan="2"| After
|-
! || Hero|| Bad Apple || Hero || Bad Apple
{{aligntop}}
| [[Enron]] ||Jeff Skilling<br>Ken Lay<br>Andrew Fastow || Fortune Journalist Bethany MacLean<br>Short-seller Jim Chanos || _______ || _______
{{aligntop}}
| [[Madoff]] || Bernie Madoff<br>Fairfield Sentry<br>The [[SEC]]||Option Trader Harry Markopolos <br>Barron’s Journalist Erin Arvedlund || _______ || _______
{{aligntop}}
| [[Barings Bank|Barings]]|| Nick Leeson<br>Peter “not terribly difficult” Baring || Er || _______ || _______
{{aligntop}}
| [[Archegos]] || Bill Huang <br>Co-heads of Prime Brokerage, everywhere || Junior credit officer || _______ || _______
{{aligntop}}
| [[FTX]] || Sam Bankman-Fried<br>Caroline Ellison || Matt (So it’s a ponzi scheme?) Levine || _______ || _______
{{aligntop}}
| [[WireCard]]||  Markus Braun<br>Jan Marsalek<br>[[BaFin]]|| FT Journalist Dan McCrum<br>Internal lawyer Pav Gill<br>Short-seller Matthew Earl  || _______ || _______
|}
====Before the fact====
*'''Heroes''': Nick Leeson, Jeff Skilling, Ken Lay, Andrew Fastow, Jérôme Kerviel, [[Kweku Abodoli]], Elizabeth Holmes, Arif Naqvid, Charlie Javis, Jo Lo, Bernie Madoff, Sam Bankman-Fried.


*'''Bad apples''': Fortune journalist [[Enron Corporation|Bethany MacLean]] (Enron). Contrarian hedge fund trader [[Collateralised debt obligation|Michael Burry]] (Subprime). Madoff whistleblower [[Harry Markopolos]]. FT journalist [[Wirecard|Dan McCrum]] (Wirecard). The formalist system systematically ignored them, fired them, tried to put them in prison.
*'''Bad apples''': Fortune journalist [[Enron Corporation|Bethany MacLean]] (Enron). Contrarian hedge fund trader [[Collateralised debt obligation|Michael Burry]] (Subprime). Madoff whistleblower [[Harry Markopolos]]. FT journalist [[Wirecard|Dan McCrum]] (Wirecard). The formalist system systematically ignored them, fired them, tried to put them in prison.