Bitcoin is Venice: Difference between revisions

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Now this is not to say contrarians cannot be popular or correct — [[Gerd Gigerenzer|Gigerenzer]], [[Nassim Nicholas Taleb|Taleb]], [[Benoit Mandelbrot|Mandelbrot]], [[Kathleen Stock|Stock]], [[James C. Scott|Scott]], [[Jane Jacobs|Jacobs]], [[Rory Sutherland|Sutherland]] and others ply a healthy trade preaching damningly about the absurdities of our institutions, which blithely carry on regardless.
Now this is not to say contrarians cannot be popular or correct — [[Gerd Gigerenzer|Gigerenzer]], [[Nassim Nicholas Taleb|Taleb]], [[Benoit Mandelbrot|Mandelbrot]], [[Kathleen Stock|Stock]], [[James C. Scott|Scott]], [[Jane Jacobs|Jacobs]], [[Rory Sutherland|Sutherland]] and others ply a healthy trade preaching damningly about the absurdities of our institutions, which blithely carry on regardless.


Well, they do until real-world facts intrude: once it is clear an intellectual construct not only ''should'' not work [[Paradigm failure|but ''does'' not]], the paradigm goes into crisis from which it might not recover, and a wholesale redrawing of the landscape is on the cards.  
Well, they do until real-world facts intrude: once it is clear an intellectual construct not only ''should'' not work [[Paradigm failure|but ''does'' not]], the paradigm goes into a crisis from which it might not recover, and a wholesale redrawing of the landscape is on the cards.  


But even then, [[paradigm|paradigms]] have a habit of shapeshifting, reframing around their fringes and boxing on. You cannot defeat a power structure with a purely theoretical argument. You can ignore clever arguments until they punch you in the mouth.
But even then, [[paradigm|paradigms]] have a habit of shapeshifting, reframing around their fringes and boxing on. You cannot defeat a power structure with a purely theoretical argument. You can ignore clever arguments until they punch you in the mouth.
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[[David Graeber]] was, properly, an outsider. An anarchist anthropologist and one of the leading conceivers of the ''Occupy Wall Street'' movement.<ref>https://novaramedia.com/2021/09/04/david-graebers-real-contribution-to-occupy-wall-street-wasnt-a-phrase-it-was-a-process/</ref> Allen Farrington is, in one sense, not — he is a well-schooled industry insider who would not tear it all to the ground, but would rather “make finance great again” by restoring capitalism to its Venetian apex — but in another sense he ''is'', because his means of doing so would be with [[bitcoin]], and by destroying what he sees as the “strip mining” version of capitalism yielded by fiat currency. As a grand vision, that is pretty anarchic: more so even than than Graeber’s.  
[[David Graeber]] was, properly, an outsider. An anarchist anthropologist and one of the leading conceivers of the ''Occupy Wall Street'' movement.<ref>https://novaramedia.com/2021/09/04/david-graebers-real-contribution-to-occupy-wall-street-wasnt-a-phrase-it-was-a-process/</ref> Allen Farrington is, in one sense, not — he is a well-schooled industry insider who would not tear it all to the ground, but would rather “make finance great again” by restoring capitalism to its Venetian apex — but in another sense he ''is'', because his means of doing so would be with [[bitcoin]], and by destroying what he sees as the “strip mining” version of capitalism yielded by fiat currency. As a grand vision, that is pretty anarchic: more so even than than Graeber’s.  


Farrington cautions against excessively theoretical approaches which he says have got us to where we are — this may be an attempt to disarm the elders as aforesaid — but there is some irony, for his own defence of bitcoin is intensely theoretical. What he has on his side, for now, is bitcoin’s sustained defiance of the elders of finance who have predicted seventeen of its last two implosions. At the time of writing, despite FTX’s collapse and CZ’s prosecution, BTC is surging back towards historical highs. This is the proof of the pudding: you can’t, as contrarian but bitcoin antagonist Nassim Taleb would say, “lecture birds how to fly”
Farrington cautions against excessively theoretical approaches which he says have got us to where we are — this may be an attempt to disarm the elders as aforesaid — but there is some irony, for his own defence of Bitcoin is intensely theoretical. What he has on his side, for now, is Bitcoin’s sustained defiance of the elders of finance who have predicted seventeen of its last two implosions. At the time of writing, despite FTX’s collapse and CZ’s prosecution, BTC is surging back toward historical highs. This is the proof of the pudding: you can’t, as contrarian but bitcoin antagonist Nassim Taleb would say, “lecture birds how to fly”


You can, however, supply a plausible account of why, against the odds, they continue to do so.
You can, however, supply a plausible account of why, against the odds, they continue to do so.
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===On debt and assets===
===On debt and assets===
{{Quote|“Since bitcoin is a digital bearer asset and not a debt instrument —”}}
{{Quote|“Since bitcoin is a digital bearer asset and not a debt instrument — ”}}
This is where I v think I part fondant company with Farrington, though we may agree to disagree.
This is where I think I part company with Farrington, though it may be one of those “agree to disagree” scenarios.


Perhaps this is the nocoiner’s fundamental misapprehension. Bitcoin isn’t even ''meant'' to be a currency. If it isn’t, then criticisms that it isn't very good at the sort of things currencies are meant to do fake on deaf ears. ''So what?''
Perhaps this is the [[nocoiner]]’s fundamental misapprehension: have we been slating Bitcoin for lacking qualities it isn’t even ''meant'' to have? If it is not a currency, then criticisms that it isn’t very good at the sort of things currencies are meant to be good at fail, defeated by the simple objection, ''so what?''


Farrington correctly sees a fiat currency as necessarily an instrument representing indebtedness. A person who holds it has a promise for value from someone else. It is, on this view, not an asset, but an ''anti-asset'': something that is no good in and of itself, but which you can only generate value with ''when you give it away''.  
Farrington correctly sees a “fiat currency” as necessarily an instrument of indebtedness: a person who holds it has a promise for value from someone else. It is, on this view, not an asset, but an ''anti-asset'': something that is no good in and of itself, but which you can only generate value with ''when you give it away''.  


There is an important distinction here between ''holding'' currency and ''putting it in the bank''. When, and while, you hold it, for all intents and purposes money is not there. It is meaningless. Worthless. Valueless. (If you are robbed it only creates a (negative) value when it is taken away. Holding currency in person is taking actual capital off the table; withdrawing it from the market. Since capital’s value is a function of time, you would expect a capital instrument you have disengaged from the capital market to waste away, and so it does. Cash in your wallet attracts no interest, so relatively to the value of any particular thing, it depreciates over time. That is the consequence of inflation.
There is an important distinction here between ''holding'' currency and ''putting it in the bank''. When, and while, you hold it, for all intents and purposes money is not there. It is meaningless. Worthless. Valueless. (If you are robbed it only creates a (negative) value when it is taken away. Holding currency in person is taking actual capital off the table; completely withdrawing it from the market. Since capital’s value is a function of time, you would expect a capital instrument you have disengaged from the capital market to waste away, and so it does. Cash in your wallet attracts no interest so, relative to the value of any particular thing, it depreciates over time. That is the consequence of inflation.


Cash you put in the bank ''is'' invested. With the bank. The bank paid you interest — usually not much — but it pays you a return for your investment in its capital. It must sit on some of the cash its customers give it, but that capital reserve, too, will waste away. The rest it will punt out to its borrowers. It's bankers will find creative ways of punting out as much as humanly possible, to increase shareholder return. This is the bank’s leverage ratio. Nowadays the supply of actual printed money that can waste away in your pocket is dwindling, and now most currency exists electronically on a banks electronic ledger, but the difference between the liabilities a bank has to its depositors - a positive number — and the claims for repayment it has against its borrowers — a negative number — represents “under the mattress” cash. A negative energy ''until you have to give it away''
Cash you put in the bank ''is'' invested. With the bank. The bank pays you interest — usually not much — but it pays you a return for your investment in its capital. It must sit on some of the cash its customers give it, but that capital reserve, too, will waste away. The rest it will punt out to its borrowers. Its bankers will find creative ways of punting out as much as humanly possible, to increase shareholder return. This is the bank’s leverage ratio. Nowadays the supply of actual printed money that can waste away in your pocket is dwindling, and now most currency exists electronically on a bank’s electronic ledger, but the difference between the liabilities a bank has to its depositors - a positive number — and the claims for repayment it has against its borrowers — a negative number — represents “under the mattress” cash. A negative energy ''until you have to give it away''


But let's not get distracted. That cash flies around the system, perpetually depreciating as it does it is a hot potato — everyone wants to pass it on — invest it — as quickly as they can, as it weighs on anyone who holds it like a dark energy. The best thing to do is to convert it into — in the vernacular , “buy” — something that will hold its value. An asset.
But let's not get distracted. That cash flies around the system, perpetually depreciating as it does it is a hot potato — everyone wants to pass it on — invest it — as quickly as they can, as it weighs on anyone who holds it like a dark energy. The best thing to do is to convert it into — in the vernacular, “buy” — something that will hold its value. An asset.


The thing about assets that they are awkward idiosyncratic fallible, not rust-proof, can go off can go out of fashion, and generally just difficult things to use as a medium of exchange. In the conventional (fairy) story of the history of money this indeed was why money came about in the first place as a substitute for the inconvenience of barter.<ref>David Graeber’s book is compelling that this is in fact a very story with no grounding in reality. In fact currency always was from the outset evidence of indebtedness.</ref>
The thing about assets is that they are awkward idiosyncratic fallible, not rust-proof, can go off can go out of fashion, and generally just difficult things to use as a medium of exchange. In the conventional (fairy) story of the history of money, this indeed was why money came about in the first place as a substitute for the inconvenience of barter.<ref>{{author|David Graeber}}’s book is compelling that this is a fairy story with no grounding in reality. Currency always was, from the outset, evidence of indebtedness.</ref>


Indebtedness is bad for a laundry list of reasons Farrington sets out in good detail, so if only we could find something which was both an asset and had the abstract, fungible, transparent, clear nature of currency but only did not depreciate or imply any form of indebted lists all will be well in our new Crypto-Venice.
Indebtedness is ''bad'' for a list of reasons Farrington sets out in good detail. If only we could find something that was both an asset ''and'' had the abstract, fungible, transparent, clear nature of a currency but, critically, ''did not depreciate or imply any form of indebtedness'' — all would be well in our new Crypto-Venice.


There seems to be a paradox here, for precisely the things that give and asset it's value is its idiosyncrasy, it's solidity, it's perishability and consumability. An asset which weighed nothing, did nothing, had no calorific content, was good for nothing Matt stood as an independent abstract symbol of capital, and that held its value only through some collective consensus in its value — that is not an asset. It's a magic trick. It gets by only by misdirection. Depends on the master magicians sleight of hand.  
But there is a paradox here. A capital ''asset'' derives its value from ''what it is'': its shape, substance, composition, idiosyncrasy, perishability and consumability. On its power to transform: on the change it can make in the real economy.


Conjuring tricks can endure: we are no less enchanted by him now then were the Victorians stop but that does not change the fact that they are conjuring tricks. This is not real. Just because a theater of patrons emerge into the chill night air none the wiser and joyously entertained cannot change that fact.
A non-degenerative “''digital asset''” that weighs nothing, does nothing, has no calorific content, occupies no space; that is good for nothing but merely stands as an independent abstract symbol of those qualities by which we judge the worth of things that ''have'' those qualities — in other words, things that are “capital” — ''is not an asset''. It might ''look'' like one, but only courtesy of a magic trick. It depends on misdirection. It depends on the master magician’s sleight of hand. Its value holds only as long as the illusion. It depends on consensus.


Farrington’s argument might be that indebtedness is intrinsically pernicious, but this is a hard argument indeed to make out, and involves tearing down more than just the tenants of fiat currency stop for mutual indebtedness, and intra community trust is the special quality that lifts human society out of a hobbian nightmare
Now, conjured illusions can outlast your solvency, to be sure. We are no less enchanted by magicians now than were the Victorians. But more persistence does not change the fact that they ''are'' conjuring tricks. ''These assets are not real''. Just because a theatre’s patrons emerge into the chill night air happy that they have been well entertained does not change that fact.
 
We can see that with a thought experiment. Imagine if everyone in the market decided to exchange its entire portfolio capital assets for universal “digital assets” of fixed equivalent value. This could not happen: vendor X can convert its capital asset into digital assets only if another purchaser Y is prepared to do the opposite trade. Someone in the market has to stay long capital assets.
 
Farrington’s argument might be that indebtedness is intrinsically pernicious, but this is a hard argument indeed to make out, and involves tearing down more than just the tenants of “[[degenerate fiat currency]]”. For mutual indebtedness, and intra-community trust is the special quality that lifts human society out of a Hobbesian nightmare
 
===Trust versus trustless===
The nature of indebtedness creates obligations of mutual trust. Trust in a community is a series of continuing, undefined, interlocking, and ''perpetual'' dependencies. Monetising indebtedness has the effect of financialising it, in a bad way.