Credibility derivatives: Difference between revisions

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{{g}}[[Credibility derivatives]] were once the principal means of [[hedging]] [[tail risk]] in fashion industry. They grew out of the popular pastime of [[taste arbitrage]], a much simpler [[physically-settled]] contract on the spot market.  
{{g}}[[Credibility derivatives]] were once the principal means of [[hedging]] [[tail risk]] in fashion industry. They grew out of the popular pastime of [[taste arbitrage]], a much simpler [[physically-settled]] contract on the spot market.  
===Origins===
===Origins===
The urban myth was that an analyst in the [[taste arbitrage]] desk at [[Wickliffe Hampton]] by the name of [[Albert Coldfall]], invented the credibility derivative when shopping for records one Sunday in 1987.  
History has it that [[Albert Coldfall]], an enterprising analyst in the [[taste arbitrage]] desk at [[Wickliffe Hampton]] stumbled upon the idea the credibility derivatives when shopping for records in Essex one Sunday in the 1980s.  


Coldfall noticed that his local record store in Chingford, which carried [[Rick Astley]]’s turgid debut ''[[Whenever You Need Somebody]]'' at full price, had sold out of it, while fully fifteen copies of Keith Jarrett’s seminal, hard-to-find and unstintingly cool ''[[The Köln Concert]]'' lingered disregarded in a sale bin for a pound fifty each.  
Coldfall noticed that his local record store in Chingford, which carried [[Rick Astley]]’s turgid debut ''[[Whenever You Need Somebody]]'' at its full price, had sold out of it, while fully fifteen copies of Keith Jarrett’s seminal, hard-to-find and unstintingly cool ''[[The Köln Concert]]'' lingered disregarded in a sale bin for a pound fifty each.  


Not even realising what he was doing, Coldfall snapped up all fifteen copies of the jazz disc, on principle.  
Not even realising what he was doing, Coldfall snapped up all fifteen copies of the jazz disc, on principle.  


Later he happened to pass a vinyl emporium in Soho and, remembering his earlier experience, popped in, just to compare prices. He was amazed to find a ''queue'' for ''[[The Köln Concert]]'', advertised at £25.99, but only the single copy of ''Whenever You Need Somebody''<ref>Allegedly a requirement of the promoting record company to carry the number-one selling album of the time, which may explain why the boutique was having it at all: every man has his price.</ref>, in its own sale bin, for 50p. At that moment the shop announced that it had sold out of the Jarrett LP.
Later he happened by an ''avant-garde'' vinyl emporium in Soho and, remembering his earlier experience, popped in, just to compare prices. He was amazed to find a ''queue'' for ''[[The Köln Concert]]'', advertised at £25.99, but only the single copy of ''Whenever You Need Somebody''<ref>Allegedly a requirement of the promoting record company to carry the number-one selling album of the time, which may explain why the boutique was having it at all: every man has his price.</ref>, in its own sale bin, for 50p. At that moment the shop announced that it had sold out of the Jarrett LP, provoking a severe commotion amongst the inconvenienced hipsters.


Nothing is not an opportunist, Coldfall offloaded his fifteen jazz albums directly to disappoionted shoppers, for £40 each, and realised that once he could set up a long-dated transaction to exchange these items, four handsome profit, with his record shop in Chingford, as long as he could source sufficient Rick Astley records in Soho.  
Nothing is not an opportunist, Coldfall offloaded his fifteen jazz albums directly to disappoionted shoppers, for £40 each, and realised that once he could earn the a handsome commission without taking any risk himself, by setting up a term exchange between this emporium and his record shop in Chingford — where Chingford supplied Jarrett and Soho supplied Astley — as long as he could source sufficient Rick Astley records in Soho.  


The Soho proprietor eventually agreed and the first credibility swap transaction was executed.  
The Soho proprietor eventually agreed and the first credibility swap transaction was executed.  
Thus was born on the first “credibility pair”: Keith Jarrett and Rick Astley.
===Growth of market the hi what time do you think you'll be back yeah what are you today you learn carefully===
===Growth of market the hi what time do you think you'll be back yeah what are you today you learn carefully===
Before long, [[credibility derivatives]] were big business in the clothing industry: a segment of the economy, of course, with significant exposure to sudden, arbitrary changes in the public’s opinion.
Before long, [[credibility derivatives]] were big business in the clothing industry: a segment of the economy, of course, with significant exposure to sudden, arbitrary changes in the public’s opinion.