Employment derivatives: Difference between revisions

no edit summary
No edit summary
No edit summary
Line 1: Line 1:
{{a|myth|{{image|Ironmountain1|jpg|}}}}{{d|Employment derivatives|/ɪmˈplɔɪmənt dɪˈrɪvətɪvz/|n|}}
{{a|myth|{{image|Ironmountain1|jpg|}}}}{{d|Employment derivatives|/ɪmˈplɔɪmənt dɪˈrɪvətɪvz/|n|}}
A financial instrument developed in the early part of this millennium by derivatives pioneer and perennial boiler of pots, {{author|Hunter Barkley}}.
A financial instrument developed in the early part of this millennium by derivatives pioneer and perennial boiler of pots, {{author|Hunter Barkley}}.
 
====Genesis====
{{Drop|W|hen midway through}} midway through his customary annual rant about the meaningless of his life and meagreness of his pay packet, it struck Barkley — an amateur [[fi-fi]] novelist and financial services naturalist — that just as the variable cost of his own employment was a material, unhedged contingency in his own life — Barkley believed himself, rightly, to be short a very ugly [[option]] to the Man — so too was everyone else’s in including, on the other side of the trade and at far greater scale, his employer’s.
{{Drop|W|hen midway through}} midway through his customary annual rant about the meaningless of his life and meagreness of his pay packet, it struck Barkley — an amateur [[fi-fi]] novelist and financial services naturalist — that just as the variable cost of his own employment was a material, unhedged contingency in his own life — Barkley believed himself, rightly, to be short a very ugly [[option]] to the Man — so too was everyone else’s in including, on the other side of the trade and at far greater scale, his employer’s.


Line 12: Line 12:
A firm having a bad year while its competitors feasted had no option but to hike pay to stop flush rivals piratically raiding its meagre stocks of [[human capital]]. By the same token, a firm that was knocking the ball out of the park while its competitors floundered, did not need to pay its own staff outsized bonuses. Where were they going to go?  
A firm having a bad year while its competitors feasted had no option but to hike pay to stop flush rivals piratically raiding its meagre stocks of [[human capital]]. By the same token, a firm that was knocking the ball out of the park while its competitors floundered, did not need to pay its own staff outsized bonuses. Where were they going to go?  


Legend has it, upon being timorously asked for a raise, the [[Vampire Squid]]’s fearsome [[GC]] would theatrically throw open a draw with all the unsolicited CVs she had collected in the last week. “I am sure we’ll find someone to do your job if you’re too good for it.”
Legend has it, should she ever be asked for a raise, the [[Vampire Squid]]’s fearsome [[GC]] would theatrically throw open a draw stuffed with unsolicited resumes. “I am sure we’ll find someone to do your job if you’re too good for it.”


But this only works when the industry is not in the grip of some mania, as it tends to be from time to time: dot-com startups, hedge funds, crypto and private equity have all skewed the market for unremarkable drones in recent times. This is why you have to pay a brainless trainee two hundred grand.  
Now this only works when the industry is not in the grip of some mania or other. History tells us usually it is: dot-com startups, hedge funds, crypto and private equity have all skewed the market for unremarkable drones in recent times. This is why magic circle firms pay guileless trainees two hundred grand and then have to charge them out at £600 an hour. But I digress.
====Expansion====
{{drop|I|n any case}}, the option is ugly, whether you are long or short, on either side. Even for a [[Vampire Squid]]. ''Usually'', banks were structurally short a rising bid. If rapacious [[private equity]] firms or gormless [[crypto]] startups were swiping mid-ranking harness bulls from their operations department, banks had little choice but to follow the bid — for replacement hires. They thereby had “duration risk”: current staff would put up with a certain amount of stiff-arming, but there were limits: [[human capital management]] desk traders priced staff like fixed rate term debt with a three-month call. New staff would come in at the prevailing astral rates, so [[HCM]] hedging strategies were vital.


So that option is ugly both ways. Even for a vampire squid. Banks were themselves structurally short a rising bid. If rapacious [[private equity]] firms, or gormless [[crypto]] startups were poaching mid-ranking operations bulls, the banks had little choice but to follow the bid for replacement hires. The banks thereby had duration risk: current staff would  put up with a certain amount of stuff arming, but there were limits. Traders in the [[human capital management]] desks traders priced staff were like callable fixed rate term debt with a three month call. New staff would come in at the prevailing astral rates, so hedging strategies became vital.
Enter Barkley’s invention: [[employment rate swap|employment rate swaps]] promised to change that by tanking lateral movements which were necessarily highly entropic in that they cost a lot in transaction friction, institutional leakage and so on and which could be avoided by just paying the employees more.


Employment rate derivatives promised to change that by taking rebenching lateral movements — which were necessarily highly entropic - they cost a lot in transaction friction, institutional leakage and so on, which could be avoided by just paying the employees more.
The first [[employment rate swap]] was between the mid-market broker [[Wickliffe Hampton]] and then start-up darling [[lexrifyly]]. WH swapped its discretionary pool for Lexrifyly’s — complicated cross-currency issues as it was denominated in [[crypto]].
 
The first employment rate swap was between the mid market broker [[Wickliffe Hampton]] and then start-up darling [[lexrifyly]]. WH swapped its discretionary pool for Lexrifyly’s — complicated cross currency issues as it was denominated in crypto.


The banks could sell these derivatives directly to employees, saving the bother of having to hedge themselves.
The banks could sell these derivatives directly to employees, saving the bother of having to hedge themselves.
Line 32: Line 32:
Interdepartmental secondments were beset by [[cheapest to deliver]] strategies and diversity arbitrage, particularly over quarter end.
Interdepartmental secondments were beset by [[cheapest to deliver]] strategies and diversity arbitrage, particularly over quarter end.


Meantime while periodic RIFs were greatly reduced they were not avoided entirely, and now could be handled quantitatively without reference to performance or value as it was baked into the credibility rating. This led to the curious counterintuitive phenomenon that the staff with the ''highest'' credibility ratings — ergo the most, well, “poubs for pound” expensive — were the first to go. This assisted also in the force ranking process.
Meantime while periodic RIFs were greatly reduced they were not avoided entirely, and now could be handled quantitatively without reference to performance or value as it was baked into the credibility rating. This led to the curious counterintuitive phenomenon that the staff with the ''highest'' credibility ratings — ergo the most, well, “pound for pound” expensive — were the first to go. This assisted also in the force ranking process.
 
====“LIEBOR” submission process====
They would be like [[interest rate swap|interest rate swaps]]. A bunch of large employers would submit, daily, how much they would be prepared to pay to hire established categories of worker, to derive some kind of London Inter-Employer Bid-Offer Rate (can we call this LIEBOR?). Then the British Human Capital Managers Association would compile and publish a list of rates. Employer could swap out their fixed costs for a floating rate, thereby hedging employment costs. Employees could do the same, hedging against their intrinsic loyalty discount, and restricting employee moves to genuine changes in role, or idiosyncratic hatred of boss, rather than just the need to rebenchmark periodically.
They would be like [[interest rate swap|interest rate swaps]]. A bunch of large employers would submit, daily, how much they would be prepared to pay to hire established categories of worker, to derive some kind of [[London Inter-Employer Bid-Offer Rate]] (can we call this LIEBOR?). Then the British Human Capital Managers Association would compile and publish a list of rates. Employers could swap out their fixed costs for a floating rate, thereby hedging employment costs. Employees could do the same, hedging against their intrinsic loyalty discount, and restricting employee moves to genuine changes in role, or idiosyncratic hatred of boss, rather than just the need to rebenchmark periodically.


{{Sa}}
{{Sa}}
*[[Interest rate swap mis-selling scandal]]
*[[Interest rate swap mis-selling scandal]]
*[[Credibility derivatives]]
*[[Credibility derivatives]]
{{ref}}