Employment derivatives: Difference between revisions

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{{a|myth|{{image|Ironmountain1|jpg|}}}}{{d|Employment derivatives|/ɪmˈplɔɪmənt dɪˈrɪvətɪvz/|n|}}Financial instruments designed to manage the risk of employment variability. First developed in the early part of this millennium by derivatives pioneer and perennial boiler of pots, {{author|Hunter Barkley}}.
{{a|myth|{{image|Ironmountain1|jpg|}}}}{{d|Employment derivatives|/ɪmˈplɔɪmənt dɪˈrɪvətɪvz/|n|}}Financial instruments designed to manage the risk of employment variability. First developed in the early part of this millennium by derivatives pioneer and perennial boiler of pots, {{author|Hunter Barkley}}.
====Genesis====
====Genesis====
{{Drop|W|hen he was}} deep into his annual rant about life’s meaningless when viewed through the lens of his income, Hunter Barkley had an epiphany. He knew his own pay packet was an unhedged contingency: the perpetual disappointment it rained upon him was beyond his reasonable control. Barkley knew, too, that his lot was common to the great, dreary sweep of humankind that clambered blearily across the clanking gears of industry.  
{{Drop|W|hen deep into}} his annual rant about life’s meaningless viewed through the lens of his tawdry income, while yet another junior customer services manager left for a crypto startup, Hunter Barkley had an epiphany. Just as his own pay packet was an unhedged contingency apt to rain disappointment across his meagre aspirations, so was that experience common to the great, dreary sweep of humankind that clambered blearily across the clanking gears of industry.  


But that was not the revelation. It was this: just as the great collected horde of wage-slaves were at the several whims of wanton Gods, so too were their bosses. Logically, they ''must'' be: they were the other side of the same trade.  
But that much was obvious. That was not the revelation, but this: just as the great collected horde of wage slaves were at the whims of wanton Gods, ''so too were their bosses''. Logically, they ''must'' be: the firms were on the other side of the same disspiriting trade.


Firms were long what their servants were short only ''at scale''. Businesses, particularly ''boring'' businesses, bobbed ineptly at the mercy of hysteria’s fickle ebb and flow.
Firms — particularly boring ones — were ''long'' what their servants were ''short'', only ''at far greater scale''. They bobbed ineptly at the mercy of hysteria’s fickle ebb and flow.


A single servant has one unit measure of this risk; her master has, literally, ''thousands''. One who deploys a turgid multitude — a good-sized bank, for example — would be locked in constant struggle with those batty tides just to prevent its pedestrian, but vital, operations personnel from being washed away. 
A single worker has but one unit measure of this risk; her master, literally, ''thousands''.  


The foe upon this reckoning was the swarm of exciting but stupid enterprises propelled at any time by that deluded current of techno-optimism. ''Why'' they believed [[this time is different|things to be different]] this time scarcely mattered there was always some hare-brained hot take to glom onto but it often had to do with technology.<ref> Inventions like the internet, web commerce, credit derivatives, [[distributed ledger|distributed ledgers]], [[large language model|large language models]] are typical examples.</ref>
One who deploys a turgid multitude a good-sized bank, for example is locked in constant struggle against those batty tides just to prevent pedestrian, but vital, operations personnel from being washed out to sea.


At the height of any such craze, merely stemming an outward stampede could cost a bank ''billions'' of dollars. Then, as the inflated expectations in the new sector foundered, the bank would find itself spoilt for choice of excellent available workers, but absurdly overcommitted to pay those it had managed to retain. The usual means of correcting this was tactical redundancy, but that was expensive and tended to dent the morale of even those who got to stay.
The foe, upon this reckoning, was those exciting but stupid enterprises propelled at any time by the prevailing delusion. ''Why'' they believed [[this time is different|things to be different]] this time scarcely mattered — there was always some hare-brained hot take to glom onto — but it often had to do with technology.<ref> Inventions like the internet, web commerce, credit derivatives, [[distributed ledger|distributed ledgers]], [[large language model|large language models]] are typical examples.</ref>


In any case, this employment cost volatility bore little relation to the bank’s own performance, none at all to its employees’. It was a simple measure of that background market euphoria.  
At the height of a given craze, merely stemming an outward stampede could cost a bank ''billions'' of dollars. Then, as the inflated expectations in the new sector foundered, the bank would be spoilt for choice among the throngs of excellent, suddenly available, workers, but unable to act on the opportunity, being overcommitted to those it had managed to retain. The usual means of correcting this was tactical redundancy, but that was expensive and dented the morale of even those who got to stay.
 
In any case, this employment cost volatility bore little relation to the bank’s own performance and none at all to its employees’. It was a simple measure of that background market euphoria.  
====An idea====
====An idea====
{{drop|H|unter Barkley’s experience}} as a junior [[interest rate swap]]s trader provided a perfect analogy and gave him an idea. ''Why not hedge away this volatility?''  
{{drop|H|unter Barkley’s experience}} as a junior [[interest rate swap]]s trader provided a perfect analogy and gave him an idea. ''Why not hedge away this volatility?''