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{{a|devil| | {{a|devil|{{image|Gartner_Hype_Cycle|svg|Inflated expectations of simplistic narratising, yesterday}}}}Along with the [[simulation hypothesis]] a sign of our stupid times. Gartner plots the expectations of emerging technologies as they mature, and arrives at the conclusion that we overestimate the benefits of new technology over the short term, but wildly underestimate them over the long term. | ||
The curve sees a “trigger” — the public introduction of a nascent technology — rapidly ascending to an overblown “peak expectation” which, being impossible to fulfil in the short term, collapses in time into a “disillusionment trough” before a gradual resurrection, as patient and unglamorous work to build out the technology enlightens the world, pulling expectations back up to a steadily increasing plateau. | The curve sees a “trigger” — the public introduction of a nascent technology — rapidly ascending to an overblown “peak expectation” which, being impossible to fulfil in the short term, collapses in time into a “disillusionment trough” before a gradual resurrection, as patient and unglamorous work to build out the technology enlightens the world, pulling expectations back up to a steadily increasing plateau. | ||