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Amwelladmin (talk | contribs) (Created page with "Let us coin a maxim: “before an apocalypse becomes an apocalypse, it doesn’t look like an apocalypse|before an apocalypse ''becomes'' an apocalypse, it doesn’t ''l...") |
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Let us coin a [[maxim]]: | Let us coin a [[maxim]]: | ||
Furthermore, it is one thing to have a legal right to pull your trigger, it is quite another to resolve to use it. ''Especially'' if you don’t know how this all will play out. ''After'' the event | {{quote|“[[before an apocalypse becomes an apocalypse, it doesn’t look like an apocalypse|before an apocalypse ''becomes'' an apocalypse, it doesn’t ''look'' like an apocalypse]]”.}} | ||
The studied, logical outrage vouchsafed by those in the riskless position of having twenty-twenty hindsight and blaming the [[meatware]] ''was not available to those on deck at the time''. No-one ''knew'' or — at least until it was too late, even ''believed'' — Archegos would become Archegos. The decision calculus was nowhere near as obvious as it appears in the rear-view mirror: if it had been, ''the catastrophe would not have happened''. Archegos’ positions may have rallied. | |||
Furthermore, it is one thing to have a legal right to pull your trigger, it is quite another to resolve to use it. ''Especially'' if you don’t know how this all will play out. | |||
''After'' the event, things are ''obvious''. There was only ever one option. | |||
''Before'' it, there were twenty million dollars of annual revenues at stake: the decision to blow up a key client is not one many individuals will be prepared to make on their own. Institutional [[Escalation circle|escalations]] are time consuming, fraught, intimidating things. To recommend affronting a [[platinum client]] is to invite a shellacking from someone a long way further up the tree than you are. If these are your options, is it any wonder a risk manager will dodge the hard questions? |