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Template:Complicated capsule: Difference between revisions
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[[Complicated system]]s require interaction with autonomous agents whose specific behaviour is beyond the | [[Complicated system]]s require interaction with autonomous agents whose specific behaviour is beyond the observer’s control, and might be intended to defeat the observer’s objective, but whose ''range'' of behaviour is deterministic, rule-bound and [[known]] and can be predicted in advance, and where the observer’s observing behaviour does not itself interfere with the essential equilibrium of the system. | ||
You know you have a [[complicated system]] when it cleaves to a comprehensive set of axioms and rules, and thus it is a matter of making sure that the proper models are being used for the situation at hand. [[Chess]] and [[Alpha Go]] are [[Complicated system|complicated]], but not [[Complex systems|complex]], systems. So are most sports. You can “force-solve” them, at least in theory. | |||
[[Complicated system]]s benefit from skilled management and ''some'' [[subject matter expert|expertise]] to operate: a good chess player will do better than a poor one, and clearly a skilled, fit footballer can execute a plan better than a wheezy novice — but in the right hands and given good instructions even a mediocre player can usually manage without catastrophe. While success will be partly a function of user’s skill and expertise, a bad player with a good plan may defeat a skilled player with a bad one. | [[Complicated system]]s benefit from skilled management and ''some'' [[subject matter expert|expertise]] to operate: a good chess player will do better than a poor one, and clearly a skilled, fit footballer can execute a plan better than a wheezy novice — but in the right hands and given good instructions even a mediocre player can usually manage without catastrophe. While success will be partly a function of user’s skill and expertise, a bad player with a good plan may defeat a skilled player with a bad one. | ||
Given enough processing power, complicated systems are predictable, determinative and calculable. They’re [[tame problem|tame]], ''not'' [[wicked problem]]s. | Given enough processing power, complicated systems are predictable, determinative and calculable. They’re [[tame problem|tame]], ''not'' [[wicked problem]]s. | ||