Template:M intro isda a swap as a loan: Difference between revisions

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To recap the background to that post:
To recap the background to that post:


{{Quote|Whereas most finance contracts imply dominance and subservience between lenders who extract excruciating covenants and enjoy a preferred place in the borrower’s affections, on its Christmas card list and so on, swaps are unique in ''not being like that''.
{{Quote|Whereas most finance contracts imply dominance and subservience — a ''lender'' who extracts excruciating covenants, takes mortgages, sharpens knives and so on, and a ''borrower'' whose mortal soul is traduced, suffers repeated indignities but who must yet feign affection through gritted teeth and deep resentment — swaps are ''not like that''.
   
   
“A swap contract is an exchange among peers. It is an equal-opportunity, biblically righteous compact between equals. There is no lender or borrower: each participant is an honest rival for the favour of the Lady Fortune, however capricious may she be.”}}
“A swap contract is an exchange among peers. It is an equal-opportunity, biblically righteous compact between equals. There is no lender or borrower: each participant is an honest rival for the favour of the Lady Fortune, however capricious may she be.”}}


So here goes: the JC’s position is that outside the inter-dealer community, this conventional wisdom is not meaningfully true. An “end user” swap ''is'', in fact, a synthetic loan from dealer to customer.
So here goes: the [[Jolly Contrarian|JC]]’s position is that, outside the inter-dealer community, this conventional wisdom is not meaningfully true: an “end user” swap ''is'', in fact, a synthetic loan from dealer to customer. Furthermore, to the extent dealers are obliged to post two-way variation margin, ''regulators have made a category error in not realising this''.


Industry veterans may look upon you slack-jawed if you say this. Being optimistic, they try to give you the benefit of the doubt for this flight of fancy.
Industry veterans may look upon you slack-jawed if you say this. Regulators certainly will.  Being optimistic, they try to give you the benefit of the doubt for this flight of fancy, while thinking “''has the old bugger finally lost his marbles''?”


“Oh, well, I suppose you could analyse an [[Interest rate swap mis-selling scandal|interest rate swap]] as a pair of off-setting fixed-rate and floating-rate loans. Yes, that seems strictly true. But it is rather to miss the point. Seeing as the same amount of principal in the same currency flows in both directions at the same time, the principal flows cancel each other out — they ‘net’ to zero. So, loans, sure. But two, going in opposite directions. This implies, does it not, that the parties are ''not'' lending to each other? The loans cancel out.”  
The JC is blessed in that his friends are inclined to charity. “Oh, well, I suppose you ''could'' analyse an [[Interest rate swap mis-selling scandal|interest rate swap]] as a pair of off-setting loans,” they are prone to say. “Yes, that seems strictly true. But, dear fellow, it is rather to miss the point, isn’t it? Seeing as the same amount of principal in the same currency flows in both directions at the same time, the principal flows cancel each other out. So, loans, sure. But ''two'' loans, going in opposite directions. They cancel each other out. The parties to a swap are not ''really'' lending to each other, old thing.”  
====Customers and dealers====
====Customers and dealers====
But this is not what the JC means.  
But this is not what the JC means. He means to say, economically, a dealer lends, outright, to a customer. One way.  


Now, far out in space, beyond the Oort cloud of the cramped star system of inter-dealer relationships, there is a boundless universe of end user swaps. Here, one party is a “dealer” and the other — the end user — a “customer”. This is the great majority of all swap arrangements.  
Now, far out in space, beyond the Oort cloud of the cramped star system of inter-dealer relationships, there is a boundless universe of “end user” swaps. Here, one party is a “dealer” and the other — the “end user” is a “customer”. This is the great majority of all swap arrangements in the known universe. Hence, the expressions “[[sell side|sell-side]]” — the dealers — and “[[buy side|buy-side]]” — their customers.  


The difference between ''customer'' and ''dealer'' is not who is “long” and who “short” — one of the great [[Swappist Oath|swappist]] beauties is that customers can easily go long ''or'' short — nor on who pays “fixed” and who “floating”.   
The difference between ''customer'' and ''dealer'' is not who is “long” and who “short” — one of the great [[Swappist Oath|swappist]] beauties is that customers can go long ''or'' short, as they please — nor on who pays “fixed” and who “floating”.   


The difference between customer and borrower is ''who is borrowing''.   
The difference between customer and borrower is ''who is economically borrowing''.   


For a ''customer'' the object of any transaction is to ''change its overall market exposure'': to leg into positions it did not have before, or leg out of ones it did. This sounds obvious enough. But dealers do ''not''. They say flat.  
For a ''customer'' the object of any transaction is to ''change its overall market exposure'': to leg into positions it did not have before, or leg out of ones it did. This sounds obvious enough. But dealers do ''not''. They say flat.  


Hang on, though, JC: you yourself say a swap is a bilateral contract. How can that be so? Does it not follow that if the ''customer'' changes its position, the dealer must be doing so too?  
“Hang on, though, JC: you yourself say a swap is a bilateral contract. How can that be so? Does it not follow that if the ''customer'' changes its position, the dealer must be doing so too?


Well, ''no''.  
Well, ''no''.  


The dealer ''provides'' exposure without taking any itself. It thereby earns a commission. This is all the excitement the dealer wants. The dealer stays ''flat'' the customer’s market risk. It hedges that market risk away. Without no market risk, the dealer is left with only customer ''credit'' exposure. ''As it would have'' ''in a loan''. (Spoiler: the similarities don’t end there.)
The dealer ''provides'' exposure without taking any itself. It thereby earns a commission. This is all the excitement the dealer wants. The dealer hedges that market risk away. Without no market risk, the dealer is left with only customer ''credit'' exposure. ''As it would have'' ''in a loan''. (Spoiler: the similarities don’t end there.)


Ok: but how does that fleeting resemblance turn a bilateral swap into a “synthetic loan” from the dealer to the customer?  
Ok: but how does that fleeting resemblance turn a bilateral swap into a “synthetic loan” from the dealer to the customer?  


Imagine the JC’s in-house [[hedge fund]], [[Hackthorn Capital Partners]] holds USD10m of that redoubtable stalwart of legal [[Thought leader|thought-leader]]<nowiki/>ship [[Lexrifyly]], and wants to get exposure to the fabulous new [[Legaltech startup conference|legaltech start-up]], [[Cryptöagle]].
Imagine the JC’s in-house [[hedge fund]], [[Hackthorn Capital Partners]] holds USD10m of that redoubtable stalwart of legal [[Thought leader|thought-leader]]<nowiki/>ship [[Lexrifyly]], and wants to get exposure to the fabulous new [[Legaltech startup conference|legaltech start-up]], [[Cryptöagle]].


It can do one of three things:  
It can do one of three things:  
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}}}}
}}}}


Notice how similar the loan and the swap are. Even though there is no physical loan, the investor’s payment profile is the same. It pays a floating rate, and has the USD10m notional value of the loan deducted from its pay-out. And like a loan, the [[equity swap]] gives Hackthorn exposure to [[Cryptöagle]] whilst keeping its exposure to [[Lexrifyly]], which Hackthorn uses to fund cashflows on its new capital asset. This is a form of ''[[leverage]]''. The floating rate Hackthorn pays is ''implied funding''. The dealer will only accept this if it is satisfied Hackthorn has enough capital to finance its swap payments and settle any differences at termination. This is the same risk calculation a bank lender would make.<ref>To keep it simple, I have ignored the scope for synthetic margin loan and rehypothecation.</ref> 
Notice how similar the loan and the swap are. Even though there is no physical loan, the investor’s payment profile is the same. It pays a floating rate, and has the USD10m notional value of the loan deducted from its pay-out. And like a loan, the [[equity swap]] gives Hackthorn exposure to [[Cryptöagle]] whilst keeping its exposure to [[Lexrifyly]], which Hackthorn uses to fund cashflows on its new capital asset.  


But, hang on: this is a bilateral arrangement, right, so isn’t the converse true of the dealer? Isn’t the dealer, in a sense, “borrowing” by paying the total return of the asset to get “exposure” to the floating rate in the same way? Indeed, is not a “short” swap position, for a dealer, exactly the same as a “long” swap position for a customer?  
This is a form of ''[[leverage]]''. ''As it would have'' ''in a loan.''
 
The floating rate Hackthorn pays is ''implied funding''. The dealer will only accept this if it is satisfied Hackthorn has enough capital to finance its swap payments and settle any differences at termination. This is the same risk calculation a bank would make on a loan.<ref>To keep it simple, I have ignored the scope for synthetic margin loan and rehypothecation.</ref> 
 
But, hang on: this is a bilateral arrangement, right, so isn’t the converse also true, of the dealer? Isn’t the dealer, in a sense, “borrowing” by paying the total return of the asset to get “exposure” to the floating rate in the same way? Is not a “short” swap position, for a dealer, exactly the same as a “long” swap position for a customer?  


No, because in providing these swap exposures to its customers, the dealer simultaneously [[Delta-hedging|delta-hedges]]. It does not changing its own market position. The customer ''buys'' an exposure: that is, starts ''without'' and ends up ''with'' a “position”; the dealer manufactures and then ''sells'' an exposure: it starts ''without'' a position, takes an order, creates a position, transfers it to the customer and ends up where it started, ''without'' a position.   
No, because in providing these swap exposures to its customers, the dealer simultaneously [[Delta-hedging|delta-hedges]]. It does not changing its own market position. The customer ''buys'' an exposure: that is, starts ''without'' and ends up ''with'' a “position”; the dealer manufactures and then ''sells'' an exposure: it starts ''without'' a position, takes an order, creates a position, transfers it to the customer and ends up where it started, ''without'' a position.   


Hence, the expressions “[[sell side|sell-side]]” — the dealers — and “[[buy side|buy-side]]” — their customers.
Provided the [[dealer]] knows what it is about, its main risk in running a swap portfolio is not therefore market risk — it should not have any — but ''customer credit'' ''risk''. Should a customer fail, the dealer’s book is no longer matched: its delta-hedge is now an outright long or short position.  
 
Provided the [[dealer]] knows what it is about, its main risk in running a swap portfolio is not therefore market risk — it should not have any — but ''customer credit'' ''risk''. Should a customer fail, the dealer’s book is no longer matched: its delta-hedge is now an outright long or short position.    


==== Fixed/floating swaps ====
==== Fixed/floating swaps ====
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:—{{buchstein}}, {{dsh}}
:—{{buchstein}}, {{dsh}}
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Ok; that’s a delta-one equity swap. But is this kind of [[synthetic equity swap|synthetic prime brokerage]] just an odd use case? Aren’t “normal” swaps truly bilateral and less “lendy” in nature? How about interest rate swaps? Surely ''paying'' a fixed rate while ''receiving'' a floating rate has none of these same characteristics of borrowership and loanery about it?  
Ok; that’s a delta-one equity swap. But is this kind of [[synthetic equity swap|synthetic prime brokerage]] just an odd use case? Aren’t “normal” swaps truly bilateral and less “lendy” in nature? How about good old fashioned [[Interest rate swap|interest rate swaps]]? Surely ''paying'' a fixed rate, while ''receiving'' a floating rate, has none of these same characteristics of borrowership and loanery about it?  
====Income implies principal====
====Income implies principal====
The first point to make here is that in the real universe of actual, non-synthetic investments, fixed or floating rate cashflows ''do not exist independently of a principal investment''. This is because they are necessarily ''income'' on a capital investment. When you put it like that, it is kind of obvious this must be true. 
The first point to make here is that in the real universe of actual, non-synthetic investments, fixed or floating rate cashflows ''do not exist independently of a principal investment''. (This is just as true of dividend streams on equities). This is because they are necessarily ''income'' on a capital investment.  


Oh, sure, you could sell a strip of [[coupon]]<nowiki/>s off a [[Debt security|bond]]. Okay. But to do that, there must first ''be'' a bond, and you have to buy it, cut it up and sell the stripped bond back into the market. Once you’ve done that, you have your disembodied interest cashflow all right, but you also have unleashed this weird, mutilated, principal-only instrument that flaps around the market at a heavy discount to a fully-limbed equivalent, sort of like Weird Barbie or one of those intercised kids with no daemon in ''His Dark Materials''.  
Oh, sure, you could sell a strip of [[coupon]]<nowiki/>s off a [[Debt security|bond]]: okay. But to do that, there must first ''be'' a bond, and you have to buy it, cut it up and sell the stripped bond back into the market. Once you’ve done that, you have your disembodied interest cashflow all right, but you also have unleashed this weird, mutilated, principal-only instrument that flaps around the market at a heavy discount to a fully-limbed equivalent, sort of like Weird Barbie or one of those intercised kids with no daemon in ''His Dark Materials''.  


Repeat: in the real world, ''income cashflows only exist with an income-generating asset''. Stands to reason. A rate with out principal is like a shadow without a boy.  
Repeat: in the real world, ''income cashflows depend on an income-generating asset''. Stands to reason. A rate with out principal is like a shadow without a boy.  
====Derivatives as engines of hypothesis====
====Derivatives as engines of hypothesis====
Did swaps change all that?
Do swaps change all that? No: because at some point, swaps need to be ''based''.


It was only once the [[Children of the Woods|Children of the Forest]] wrought their wristy magic on the [[First Men]] in the dark thickets of [[Bretton Woods|Woods of Bretton]] that the ways of the [[Single agreement|Single Agreement]] came into common understanding. Only then were leaden, earth-bound notions of principal swept away; the swap market took wing upon the nuclear power of infinite leverage. Income flows could bust free of their leaden principal host and frolic in ISDA’s glittering starlight.
It was only once the [[Children of the Woods|Children of the Forest]] wrought their wristy magic on the [[First Men]] in the dark thickets of [[Bretton Woods|Woods of Bretton]] that the ways of the [[Single agreement|Single Agreement]] came into common understanding. Only then were leaden, earth-bound notions of principal swept away; the swap market took wing upon the nuclear power of infinite leverage. Income flows could bust free of their leaden principal host and frolic in ISDA’s glittering starlight.
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In this ''synthetic'' world we have the mathematical tools to ''hypothetically'' isolate income from the assets which generate it, and trade the income streams as discrete instruments, but at some point, they must intersect with real-world instruments, ''because that is what they are derived from''. For a customer to take on a derivative position, someone else, somewhere in the linear chain of financial instruments hedging that exposure must, at some point, buy a real-world hedge. Including its principal. ''And that must be financed''.  
In this ''synthetic'' world we have the mathematical tools to ''hypothetically'' isolate income from the assets which generate it, and trade the income streams as discrete instruments, but at some point, they must intersect with real-world instruments, ''because that is what they are derived from''. For a customer to take on a derivative position, someone else, somewhere in the linear chain of financial instruments hedging that exposure must, at some point, buy a real-world hedge. Including its principal. ''And that must be financed''.  


If you want a [[floating rate]] on a notional of a hundred bucks, you pony up a hundred bucks and buy a floating-rate note. That means selling down an asset you already have. If you don’t want to do that, you can borrow the hundred bucks at a fixed rate from the dealer who is selling you the floating rate note, and bingo the principal on the note and your loan cancel out and you have an interest rate swap.  
If you want a [[floating rate]] on a notional of a hundred bucks, you pony up a hundred bucks and buy a floating-rate note. That means selling down an asset you already have. If you don’t want to sell down that asset, you can borrow the hundred bucks at a fixed rate from the dealer who is selling you the floating rate note, pay that fixed rate out of your assets, and bingo: the principal on the note and your loan cancel out and ''you have an interest rate swap''.  
 
Interest rate swaps are, in this sense, “synthetic fixed income prime brokerage”.
====Leverage is a state of mind (or balance-sheet)====
====Leverage is a state of mind (or balance-sheet)====


One last way to look at this: an [[interest rate swap]] is a levered investment in a fixed income asset. A margin loan to buy a fixed income asset is, literally, a levered investment in that fixed income asset. The difference is the customer is taking a margin loan, the dealer is not.
One last way to look at this: an [[interest rate swap]] is a levered investment in a fixed income asset. Interest rate swaps are, in this sense, “synthetic fixed income prime brokerage”: a [[margin loan]] to buy a fixed income asset.


We can see this by considering the parties’ respective economic positions before and after trading. The customer changes its net position; the [[dealer]] does not. Swapping a fixed cashflow for a floating one is to ''keep'' the “asset” funding that fixed cashflow, and to borrow the funds required to acquire a new floating-rate asset in the same principal amount. Because that borrowing has the same principal amount as the floating-rate asset, the principal amounts cancel out, and the customer left with just the floating rate cashflow, for which it must pay the fixed rate it has agreed.  
We can see this by considering the parties’ respective economic positions before and after trading. The customer changes its net position; the [[dealer]] does not. Swapping a fixed cashflow for a floating one is to ''keep'' the “asset” funding that fixed cashflow, and to borrow the funds required to buy the new floating-rate asset. Because that borrowing has the same principal amount as the purchased floating-rate asset, the principal amounts cancel out, and the customer left with just the floating rate cashflow, for which it must pay the fixed rate cashflow  it has agreed.  


Without that implied loan, the customer would have to sell an asset to raise the proceeds to buy the floating-rate bond from the dealer. That is, pay the principal amount to the dealer, and acquire the interest and principal cashflows of a floating rate asset. Here the customer is not borrowing anything.
Without that implied loan, the customer would have to sell an asset to raise the proceeds to buy the floating-rate bond outright from the dealer. That is, pay the principal amount to the dealer, and acquire the interest ''and'' principal cashflows of a floating rate asset. Here the customer is certainly not borrowing anything. It is making a fully-funded long investment.


“But, but, but JC: can’t you see? If you pay someone 100 and they pay you the return of an instrument worth 100 and interest, ''you'' have loaned ''them'' the money?”
“But, but, but JC: can’t you see? If you pay someone 100 and they pay you the return of an instrument worth 100 and interest, ''you'' have loaned ''them'' the money?”


Quite so: but that is the nature of a floating-rate bond. It ''is'' a loan. But it is ''not a loan to the dealer''. It is a loan ''to the issuer of the floating-rate bond''. If the dealer is paying you the return of a floating-rate bond you may be assured it has used your money to buy a floating-rate bond, to hedge itself. You have not, net, lent the dealer ''anything''.
Quite so: but ''that is the nature of a floating-rate bond''. It ''is'' a loan. But it is ''not a loan to the dealer''. It is a loan ''to the issuer of the floating-rate bond''. If the dealer is paying you the return of a floating-rate bond you may be assured it has used your money to buy the floating-rate bond, to hedge itself.  It is flat. You have not, net, lent the dealer ''anything''.