Thirteenth law of worker entropy: Difference between revisions

no edit summary
No edit summary
No edit summary
 
(24 intermediate revisions by the same user not shown)
Line 1: Line 1:
{{a|work|}}{{Thirteenth law of worker entropy}}
{{a|work|
{{image|William Blake, painter and poet (page 28a)|png|}}
}}{{Quote|“Je n’ai fait celle-ci plus longue que parce que je n’ai pas eu le loisir de la faire plus courte.”<ref>“I have made this longer than usual because I have not had time to make it shorter.”</ref>
— Pascal, ''Lettres Provinciales'', 1657.}}{{Thirteenth law of worker entropy}}


The JC developed this over a series of papers with sometime collaborator, poet, playwright and tropical disease victim Otto {{buchstein}} when trying to understand how [[medium term note]] documentation could be so dreary despite (a) the underlying product being basically straightforward and (b) repeated efforts by market participants to make it easier.<ref>For example, the  [https://patents.google.com/patent/EP1597650A2/en patent applied for] “'''MaJoR'''” Multi-Jurisdiction Repackaging Programme, which for a brief beautiful moment revolutionised the repack world, but inexplicably fell out of favour, to be replaced by earlier, crappier structures. Go figure. </ref>
The JC developed this over a series of papers ''[do you mean “beers”? — Ed]'' with sometime collaborator, poet, playwright and tropical disease victim Otto {{buchstein}} when trying to understand how [[medium term note]] documentation could be so dreary despite (a) the underlying product being basically straightforward and (b) repeated efforts over the years by market participants to make it easier.  


There are underlying dynamics here. Firstly, ''r'' and ''t'' are positively correlated. This follows: the more patience, skill and hubris required to competently manipulate text, the fewer people can do it, so, by operation or ordinary economic principles of supply and demand the more those who ''can'' do it can charge for their service.
There are underlying dynamics here.  


Similarly ''v'' is actual, real world value, and not “notional fright value imbued by lawyers”.  
Firstly, that [[charge-out rate]] “''r''” and the time “''t''” it takes the fellow charging it to do a basic task are ''positively'' correlated. This may seem counterintuitive, but in the twisted logic of legal practice, it follows: the more patience, skill and hubris required to competently manipulate text, the fewer people can do it and, by ordinary principles of supply and demand, the more they can charge.  


Thus, a [[Medium term note|secured medium term note]] — typically in the tens of hundreds of millions of dollars — has high intrinsic value even though the basic premise of the transaction — “I lend you money, you give me a note, you repay whoever holds that note later with interest, depending on certain externalities” — is pretty simple. Thus, you can expect the documentation for a secured MTN drawdown to span several hundred pages of wretched text, and so it does, notwithstanding the inconvenient fact that one can, and parties typically do, trade on a one-page [[Cocktail napkin|term-sheet]].
Hence, ''pace'' Blaise Pascal, [[charge-out rate]]<nowiki/>s tends to rise, not fall, with prolixity: only a true lexical wizard has a hope of understanding ISDA’s latest publications.


By contrast, a [[confidentiality agreement]] is part of the traditional pre-trade appendage-measuring ritual of the pea-cocks and pea-hens of finance, is meant to ''look'' spectacular, set the scene, but no-one is meant to be seriously ''hurt'' by the experience, and nothing of lasting value is achieved by its negotiation. Notwithstanding that, the purely ''legal'' points of an NDA can be quite involved, even though nothing of any commercial moment hangs on them. Thus, [[Confidentiality agreement|NDA]]<nowiki/>s — even for  secret-squirrel event-driven [[family office]] types — rarely get past 5 or 6 pages.
Similarly, “''v''” is actual, real-world value, and not “notional fright-value imbued by the neurotic expostulations of paranoid lawyers”. “''v<sub>f</sub>'' ” is a kind of bounded lexo-cosmological constant.
 
===== [[MTN programme|MTN programmes]] =====
Thus, a [[Medium term note|secured medium term note]] — having a principal amount typically in the tens or hundreds of millions of dollars  — has high intrinsic “''v''” value even though the basic premise of a transaction — “I lend you money, you give me a an [[IOU]], I can sell it, you repay whoever gives it back to you at maturity, with interest, depending on certain externalities” — is simple.
 
Thus, you can expect the documentation for a bond deal to say very little, but say it expansively, over several hundred pages of wretched text. And so it does, notwithstanding that one can, and parties typically do, trade on a one-page [[Cocktail napkin|term-sheet]].
 
===== [[Netting opinion|Netting opinions]] =====
[[Netting opinion|Netting opinions]] are the same: there has not been an insolvency practitioner alive in the last forty years who  for an instant has so much as ''considered'' challenging the “[[Single Agreement - ISDA Provision|single agreement]]” concept of an {{Isdama}}, let alone successfully done so.  Yet, so ghastly are the dread phantoms that circle the head of anyone foolish enough to ask that plainly stupid question — ''what if one of them did?''  — and so comfortable are the incomes of those brave toilers engaged in the annual harvest of prophylactic [[Netting opinion|opinions]] giving supplying the sober, long-winded answer that so preposterous a question barely deserves — that the industry tolerates a multi-million dollar annual expenditure without second thought.
 
===== [[NDA|NDAs]] =====
By contrast, a [[confidentiality agreement]] is part of the traditional pre-trade appendage-measuring ritual of the pea-cocks and pea-hens of finance. You ''have'' to do this; NDAs are meant to ''look'' fierce, but no-one is ever seriously ''hurt'' by them, and nor does anyone achieve much of lasting value out of them either. They’re a comfy part of the cosmic pantomime that is a career in financial services. But no-one wants to ''pay'' for them.  
 
Even so, the abstract ''legal'' points of an NDA can be intricate — the world is awash with NDA templates riddled with schoolboy errors — though, since nothing of any commercial moment has ever depended on an NDA, the howlers persist: the people — and [[Machines are fungible|machines]] — engaged to process them need, and usually have, no great acumen, so we should not expect anything else.
 
So there are local maxima and minima at play. An [[NDA]], however important, complicated, and regardless of what fanciful things you bolt onto it ([[Exclusive licence|exclusivity]], [[non-solicitation]], restraint of trade, [[Exemplary damages|punitive damages]] and so on) may generate a few thousand pounds in billings, but even that is pushing beyond rational expectation.
 
With a syndicated bond issue, on the other hand, you can write a ticket to the moon.
 
This is why [[magic circle law firm]]s do not have “confidentiality departments”  everyone muddles along as best they can — but devote entire floors to [[Debt securities|debt capital markets]].


===Worked example===
===Worked example===
Take a USD500m secured note. Even 5 [[basis point]]<nowiki/>s 0.05% of the deal — is USD250,000. Who wouldn’t pay that to make sure nothing went wrong on a tenth of a yard of debt finance? But even at USD500 and hour that is five full working weeks of a [[legal eagle]]’s time:<ref>At 40 hours per week. Yes, we know that nowadays a transatlantic lawyer can expect to recover more billable hours per week than there actually are in the week, but we are assuming traditional laws of spacetime apply.</ref> it really wouldn’t do if all that was required was to top-and-tail the term-sheet with [[boilerplate]] and bang out an enforceability [[Legal opinion|opinion]]. Nor would there be much prospect of stopping clients going to some other guy down the road who will do the job in a day and send a bill for a £500.{{sa}}
Take a USD500m note. Even a half of one percent of the deal value — a mere 5 [[basis point]]s” adds up to USD250,000. Who ''wouldn’t'' pay such a paltry sliver to make sure nothing went wrong on half a yard of debt finance?  
 
But even at a charge-out rate of USD500 an hour, that is ''five full working weeks'' of a [[legal eagle]]’s time:<ref>At 40 hours per week. Yes, we know that nowadays a transatlantic lawyer can expect to recover more billable hours per week than there actually are in the week, but we are assuming traditional laws of spacetime apply.</ref> it really wouldn’t do if all that was required was to top-and-tail the term-sheet and bang out an enforceability [[Legal opinion|opinion]]. Nor would there be much prospect of stopping clients going to some other guy down the road who will do the job in a day and send a bill for a £500. ''So somehow we need to make this seem a bit more complicated''.
 
Still: is it ''really'' possible to charge six figures for a glorified [[IOU]]? Well, have a butcher’s at this [https://www.ise.ie/debt_documents/ListingParticulars_cd8daa3f-24e8-419a-819a-cf3e23a03271.PDF this 370-page beauty] and allow me to rest my case on it, since it plainly wouldn’t fit ''in'' it. Quarter of a mill well spent, sans doubte.<ref>We have NO idea how much the legal fees on this were, and it may be wildly defamatory to imply it was that much. Of course it could have been more.</ref>
 
Is it any wonder the service economy is in such rude health? 
 
{{sa}}
*[[charge-out rate]]
*[[Time and attendance]]
*[[Laws of worker entropy]]
*[[Laws of worker entropy]]
{{C|Laws of worker entropy}}
{{C|Laws of worker entropy}}
{{ref}}
<references />