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{{a|work|}}{{d|Thought leader||n}} | {{a|work|}}{{d|Thought leader|/θɔːt ˈliːdə/|n}} | ||
One who spends {{sex|his}} time on prediction — articulating theories, plans, strategies, technologies —to anticipate where things are going, and almost none explaining after the fact — the ''absence'' of fact — why they were wrong. | One who spends {{sex|his}} time on prediction — articulating theories, plans, strategies, technologies —to anticipate where things are going, and almost none explaining after the fact — the ''absence'' of fact — why they were wrong. LinkedIn is unusually susceptible to thought-leadership because [[it is not the done thing to call bullshit in a professional setting]]. | ||
While the legal industry has changed out of all recognition in the last 40 years — anyone still use a [[Dictaphone]], or communicate by [[fax]]? — but in none of the ways legal [[thought-leader|thought-leaders]] predicted. It just changed by increments, through tiny, unconcerted, self-interested decisions. It iterated. It [[Evolve|''evolved'']]. | |||
The JC’s prediction: the legal industry will ''continue'' to evolve, defying all expectations and confounding all predictions of the latter-day seers, visionaries, professors and change instigators. This is, of course, hardly a bold prediction. Rather, it’s a ''statement of the bleeding obvious''. Of all the myriad of possible vectors a [[complex system]] could move in over an extended period — multiple vectors — the odds of it following any single one that you described in advance are infinitesimal. | |||
You have as much chance — less, come to think of it — of correctly predicting the flight path of a deflating balloon. | |||
One thing is certain: the fundamental condition for every industry-shaping iteration is that it enhances “[[survivor|fitness]]”: not society’s fitness, nor the industry’s, nor the market’s, nor the firm’s, nor the client’s — it enhances the fitness ''of the person making the decision''. | |||
{{sa}} | |||
*[[Evolution by natural selection]] | |||
*[[survivor]] | |||
*[[LinkedIn]] | |||