We will all have more leisure time in the future: Difference between revisions

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{{a|maxim|
{{a|maxim|
[[File:Dinocheckers.jpg|450px|thumb|center|Our future. Pity the poor robot whose job it will be to serve the grappa and periodically wipe our arses: Watching us mangle a basic Spassky/Fischer opening will be ''torture''.]]  
[[File:Dinocheckers.jpg|450px|thumb|center|Our future. Pity the poor robot serving the grappa and periodically wipe our arses: having to watch the idiot [[meatware]] mangle a basic Spassky/Fischer opening will be some kind of ''torture''.]]  
}}The idea, propagated by [[thought leader]]s like {{author|Ray Kurzweil}}<ref>{{br|The Singularity is Near}}</ref> and latterly {{author|Daniel Susskind}}<br>{{br|A World Without Work: Technology, Automation, and How We Should Respond}}. See also {{author|David Goodhart}}’s more thoughtful (but still, on this point, misguided) {{br|Head Hand Heart}}.</ref> that [[Chatbot|robots]] and [[artificial intelligence]] will entirely supplant the need for human labour, and in the near term. Seeing as the [[meatware]] will no longer be needed to operate [[Jacquard loom]]s, wipe bottoms, write wishfully dystopian technological tracts or formulate business change programmes, we will loaf around instead playing [[chess]] and drinking grappa in the Peloponnese, like modern-day Greek pensioners. It sounds great, doesn’t it! But problem: there’s even a machine to play chess for you.
}}The idea, propagated by [[thought leader]]s like {{author|Ray Kurzweil}}<ref>{{br|The Singularity is Near}}</ref> and latterly {{author|Daniel Susskind}}<ref>{{br|A World Without Work: Technology, Automation, and How We Should Respond}}. See also {{author|David Goodhart}}’s more thoughtful (but still, on this point, misguided) {{br|Head Hand Heart}}.</ref> that [[Chatbot|robots]] and [[artificial intelligence]] will entirely supplant the need for human labour, and in the near term. Seeing as the [[meatware]] will no longer be needed to operate [[Jacquard loom]]s, wipe bottoms, write wishfully dystopian technological tracts or formulate business change programmes, we will loaf around instead playing [[chess]] and drinking grappa in the Peloponnese, like modern-day Greek pensioners. It sounds great, doesn’t it! But problem: there’s even a machine to play chess for you.


But if something about this idea nudges your implausibility hooter, you would not be alone. There’s at least two of us. For one thing our recent history, which from our [[perspective chauvinism|unimpeachable present vantage point]] resembles some [[Cambrian explosion]] of novel technologies, has so far had quite the opposite effect. So, for that matter, has ancient history: the unerring consquence of technological revolution has been ''more'' work.
But if something about this idea nudges your implausibility hooter, you would not be alone. There’s at least two of us. For one thing our recent history, which from our [[perspective chauvinism|unimpeachable present vantage point]] resembles some [[Cambrian explosion]] of novel technologies, has so far had quite the opposite effect. So, for that matter, has ancient history: the unerring consquence of technological revolution has been ''more'' work.