We will all have more leisure time in the future: Difference between revisions

no edit summary
No edit summary
No edit summary
Line 12: Line 12:
Now if something about this scenario nudges your implausibility hooter, that makes two of us.  
Now if something about this scenario nudges your implausibility hooter, that makes two of us.  


For one thing, from our [[perspective chauvinism|vantage point]], the last thirty-odd years have been one long [[Cambrian explosion]] of technology (''t’internet! iPhones! SETI@home! Uber! Drones!''), but so far ''not a sign of any extra leisure time''. Maybe it is just me, readers, but for [[JC|this old goat]] it has been quite the ''opposite'' experience. Granted, a lot of it is ''crap'' work: [[internal audit]], software [[change manager|change management]], process excellence and operations analysis: hardly the effervescent future we envisaged as wild undergraduate dreamers (but had our elders known, would they have told us? [[Who breaks a butterfly upon a wheel?]])
For one thing, from our [[perspective chauvinism|vantage point]], the last thirty-odd years have been one long [[Cambrian explosion]] of technology (''t’internet! iPhones! SETI@home! Uber! Drones!''), but so far ''not a sign of any extra leisure time''. Maybe it is just me, readers, but for [[JC|this old goat]] it has been quite the ''opposite'' experience. Granted, a lot of it is ''crap'' work: [[internal audit]], software [[change manager|change management]], process excellence and operations analysis: hardly the effervescent future we envisaged as wild undergraduate dreamers (but had our elders known, would they have told us? [[Who breaks a butterfly upon a wheel?]]).


In any case, that was then:  that unknowable future is now crushing reality, and that reality is this: ''there is more work to do now than ever.'' Work is here, it is overwhelming, it is debilitating, and it is barricading the way to that chessboard in Στούπα, with no end in sight.  
In any case, that was then:  the unknowable ''then'' has coagulated into a crushing ''now'', and the reality is this: ''there is more work to do now than ever.'' Work is here, it is overwhelming, it is debilitating, and it is barricading the way to that chessboard in Στούπα, with no end in sight.  


As for that end: ''No-one knows what we will be doing in ineffable, co-evolving future''. For all we know it ''might not'' be [[Change manager|regulatory change programme management]] (though, ahhh, don’t ''bet'' on it) but, if the past is any guide, there ''will'' be something, it ''will'' be [[tedious]], and it sure as hell ''won’t'' be slugging back ''génépi'' over a backgammon board in the ''Haute-Savoie''.
As for that end: will the 4,000-year-old asymptote suddenly invert? How? When? ''No-one knows what we will be doing in ineffable, co-evolving future'': we don’t, and the bots ''definitely'' don’t. For all we know it might not be [[Change manager|regulatory change programme management]] (though, ahhh, don’t ''bet'' on it) but, if the past is any guide, there ''will'' be something, it ''will'' be [[tedious]], and it sure as hell ''won’t'' be slugging back ''génépi'' over a backgammon board in the ''Haute-Savoie''.


“Ahh,” sayeth the [[digital prophet]]s of our time, “but ''is'' the past any guide? We say it is not. ''[[This time is different]]''. This time the machines will not just be our handmaidens; ''they will replace us altogether''.”
“Ahh,” sayeth the [[digital prophet]]s of our time, “but ''is'' the past any guide? We say it is not. ''[[This time is different]]''. This time the machines will not just be our handmaidens; ''they will replace us altogether''.”