Black-Scholes option pricing model

A technique for managing complicated risk which is the source of a lot of trouble, especially when used, as it habitually is, to manage complex risks.

The Jolly Contrarian’s Glossary The snippy guide to financial services lingo.™ →Go uptown File:God playing dice.png “God Does Not Play Dice.” (von Sachsen-Rampton, 1998) Index — Click the ᐅ to expand: Glossary Tell me more Sign up for our newsletter — or just get in touch: for ½ a weekly 🍺 you get to consult JC. Ask about it here.

The owners of Long-Term Capital Management, and for that matter, their counterparties and much of the financial system discovered this to their surprise and cost during the Russian crisis of 1998, and again in the Lehman collapse and its aftermath in 2008. It is a lesson that folks are yet to learn.

God does not play dice. But if she did, whom would she play against?

See also

• systems analysis
• LTCM
• Models.Behaving.Badly
• When Genius Failed
• Inventing Money