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Butterfly effect: Difference between revisions
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Butterfly wing-flaps are discrete independent events. Unless you are prepared to hypothesise some kind of spooky quantum butterfly entanglement, one butterfly flapping its wings will not make more or less likely another butterfly’s decision to do the same, let alone any of the other environmental factors that might cause a tropical storm. | Butterfly wing-flaps are discrete independent events. Unless you are prepared to hypothesise some kind of spooky quantum butterfly entanglement, one butterfly flapping its wings will not make more or less likely another butterfly’s decision to do the same, let alone any of the other environmental factors that might cause a tropical storm. | ||
Furthermore, there are millions of butterflies in the Amazon, all discretely wing flapping, and [[Gaussian]] nature of these events will largely cancel each other out, putting butterfly wing flapping in “Mediocristan” and not “Extremistan”. | Furthermore, there are millions of butterflies in the Amazon, all discretely — even if not dis''creet''ly — wing-flapping, and [[Gaussian]] nature of these events will largely cancel each other out, putting butterfly wing-flapping in “Mediocristan” and not “Extremistan”.<ref>See{{br|The Black Swan}}.</ref> | ||
If individual-butterfly-wing-flapping-in-Brazil status is a material part of the [[complex system]] that generates weather systems in China, then how many other factors are as or ''more'' material? | If individual-butterfly-wing-flapping-in-Brazil status is a material part of the [[complex system]] that generates weather systems in China, then how many other factors are as or ''more'' material? | ||
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{{sa}} | {{sa}} | ||
*[[Complexity]] | *[[Complexity]] | ||
{{ref}} | |||