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To be contrasted with the ineffable, inarticulable skills that are provided by a [[subject matter expert]]. | To be contrasted with the ineffable, inarticulable skills that are provided by a [[subject matter expert]]. | ||
===[[Goodhart’s law]]=== | |||
An excellent page of resources on [[Goodhart’s law]] to be found [https://modelthinkers.com/mental-model/goodharts-law here]. | |||
Regressive | |||
Choosing a measurement that is a single proxy to your goal, when the goal actually has several causal factors behind it. | |||
Knowing that successful basketballers tend to be tall, you might build a basketball team by recruiting tall people. However, they might not possess other factors such as coordination, fitness, quick responses etc.. | |||
Extremal | |||
Where a proxy might indicate the goal under normal circumstances, but not in variable contexts. | |||
Sugar consumption helped define our ancient ancestors’ survival however today, with a different context, our excessive sugar consumption is often an indicator of an unhealthy diet. | |||
Causal | |||
Confusing Causation vs Correlation when selecting measurements. | |||
Data might indicate increasing ice cream sales when people wear sunglasses. However, providing more sunglasses won’t necessarily boost ice cream sales because they are both caused by a third factor, ie. sunny, hot days. | |||
Adversarial (Cobra Effect) | |||
Choosing a proxy measurement incentivises people to make the proxy the new goal. | |||
{{Outsourcing}} | {{Outsourcing}} | ||
*[[Beware of shorthand]] | *[[Beware of shorthand]] |