Certainty: Difference between revisions

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Be careful what you wish for. A world of certainty is a world of no [[doubt]], no mystery, no ''je ne sais pas''; no contingency, no [[disclaimer]]s that [[past performance is no indicator of future results]], not because suddenly the past ''is'' an indicator: everything that is to come can be extrapolated from what has already been. Our accursed [[induction|inductive mode of reasoning]] is obsolete. We can [[deduction|''de''duce the future]] from the data we have to hand, from first principles, the same way that one can deduce rice pudding and income tax from “[[cogito, ergo sum]]”.<ref>{{hhgg}}, [[as any fule kno]].</ref>
Be careful what you wish for. A world of certainty is a world of no [[doubt]], no mystery, no ''je ne sais pas''; no contingency, no [[disclaimer]]s that [[past performance is no indicator of future results]], not because suddenly the past ''is'' an indicator: everything that is to come can be extrapolated from what has already been. Our accursed [[induction|inductive mode of reasoning]] is obsolete. We can [[deduction|''de''duce the future]] from the data we have to hand, from first principles, the same way that one can deduce rice pudding and income tax from “[[cogito, ergo sum]]”.<ref>{{hhgg}}, [[as any fule kno]].</ref>


A certain universe, then, is a ''determined'' universe, where each stem in the great fractal bloom of evolution; every infinitesimal causal chains twisting madly through evolutionary design space, is fully taxonomised, catalogued, worked out and mapped. We can plot where when and how every crisp packet will kick and tumble across St Mark’s square, as all those that didn’t, but might have tumbled across that palazzo, had the circumstances been different, even through, by immovable presumption of your [[philosophy]], they cannot have been.
A certain universe, then, is a ''determined'' universe, where each stem in the great fractal bloom of evolution; every infinitesimal causal chain twisting madly through evolutionary design space, is fully taxonomised, catalogued, worked out and mapped. We can plot where when and how every [[Crisp-packet blowing across St Mark’s square|crisp packet will kick and tumble across St Mark’s square]], as all those that didn’t, but might have tumbled across that palazzo, had the circumstances been different, even through, by immovable presumption of your [[philosophy]], they cannot have been.


We can predict the Madagascan hurricane, the Brazilian butterfly whose flapping wings set it off, and all the myriad intervening causes in between.
We can predict the Madagascan hurricane, the Brazilian butterfly whose flapping wings set it off, and all the myriad intervening causes in between.