Legal services delivery: Difference between revisions

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:''“More recently the buzz and effort has shifted from innovation in legal expertise (inventing [[derivatives]], [[CDO]]s and so on) to how the services that embed that expertise are delivered.”''
:''“More recently the buzz and effort has shifted from innovation in legal expertise (inventing [[derivatives]], [[CDO]]s and so on) to how the services that embed that expertise are delivered.”''


The learned authors seem to recognise that legal work involving sophisticated real-time reaction to emerging legal quandaries, is (or, in the good old days, ''was'') less ''mune'' to the “march of the [[chatbot]]s” — [[A&O]] raked a fair few millions cranking out [[CDO]]s, after all — but their insight, wholly unrecognisable though it may be, to those us at the coalface, is that ''it’s all changed now''. [[This time is different]].  
This seems to recognise that legal work involving sophisticated real-time reaction to emerging legal quandaries, is (or, at any reate, ''was'') less ''mune'' to the “delivery by [[chatbot]]— [[A&O]] raked a fair few millions cranking out [[CDO]]s, after all — but nonetheless paints a picture, unrecognisable though it may be to those at the coalface, that ''it’s all changed now''.  


It’s like we’ve somehow solved the game; that there are no mysteries left: one can only now create “legal worth” by supersizing, adding fries, or getting the delivery guy to go faster for less money. ''It’s not about the [[pizza]]''.
''[[This time is different]].''  If I had a penny for every time I had heard that.
 
Somehow, we’ve solved [[Go|the game]]; there are no mysteries left: one can only now create “legal worth” by supersizing, adding fries, or getting the delivery guy to go faster for less money. ''It’s not about the [[pizza]]''.


===It ''is'' about the [[pizza]].===
===It ''is'' about the [[pizza]].===
But here is the thing. It ''is'' about the [[pizza]].
But it ''is'' about the [[pizza]]. Even now.
 
The marginal return on any activity is not a function of how ''clever'' it is, but how ''difficult''. It is ''not'' difficult to do clever things with a computer: all you need is a computer, and the Java coder from Bucharest you found on ''UpWork''. But if ''you'' can do it, so can ''anyone else'' who gets hold of a computer and an account on ''UpWork''. Computers are cheap. Romanian Java coders are cheap.  


The marginal return on any activity is not a function of how intrinsically ''clever'', but on how ''difficult'' it is. It is ''not'' difficult to do clever things with a computer: all you need is a computer — and maybe a Java coder from Bucharest you found on ''UpWork''. But if you can do it, so can anyone ''else'' if they get themselves a computer and an account on ''UpWork''. Computers are cheap. Romanian Java coders are cheap. Seeing as that “anyone else” will be a competitor of yours, once you have figured out how to make it with a computer, and paid your Java guy, the marginal value of your [[pizza]] will equal its marginal cost of production — that is to say, ''nil''. This will happen not just gradually, over a period of time, but ''immediately''. Ask Kodak.<ref>Kodak ''invented'' the digital camera. It still killed them.</ref> Ask people who used to make postcards and aerogrammes.
Seeing as that “anyone else” will be your competitor, once you have figured out how to make ''your'' [[pizza]] with a computer, and paid your Java guy, its marginal ''value'' will equal its marginal ''cost of production'' — that is to say, ''nil''. This will happen not just gradually, over a period, but ''at once''. Ask Kodak.<ref>Kodak ''invented'' the digital camera. It still killed them.</ref> Ask people who used to make postcards and aerogrammes.


If you think there is a money to be made delivering a valueless product [[cheapest to deliver|more cheaply than any other bugger]], you will find yourself in a very fast race to the bottom of a very large tank, with a very hard, very flat, very concrete floor.
If you think there is a money to be made delivering a valueless product [[cheapest to deliver|more cheaply than any other bugger]], you will find yourself galloping to the bottom of a very large, very empty, pit.


The point about real legal work is that you ''can’t'' get a computer to do it. If you could, ''it wouldn’t be legal work''.<ref>I could pause here to pick a fight with the Susskind clan, but it would spoil the flow. But the essence of the argument is this: what counts as legal work is inherently dynamic. It changes through time. It is a function of non-linear interactions in complex systems. What counts as legal work is not just hard to predict ahead of time: it is ''impossible''.</ref>  Legal work is — always has been — about edge cases; conundrums; things no-one expected. Bespoke situations spinning out of non-contiguities and interactions between moving parts that no-one expected to move. To be sure, part of a lawyer’s job should be to identify those parts of the ecosystem than ''can'' be tamed, and to prepare the land for farming: to commoditise new products, productionise them, and hand them off to operations teams who ''can'' make widgets out of them — but ''lawyers don’t make widgets''. Lawyers are ''bushwhackers''. Lawyers are ''pioneers''.
The point about real legal work is that you ''can’t'' get a computer to do it. If you could, ''it wouldn’t be legal work''.<ref>I could pause here to pick a fight with the Susskind clan, but it would spoil the flow. But the essence of the argument is this: what counts as “legal work” is inherently dynamic. It changes through time. It manages non-linear interactions in complex systems. What counts as “legal work” is not just ''hard'' to predict ahead of time: it is ''impossible''.</ref>  Legal work is — always has been — about edge cases; conundrums; things; bespoke situations spinning out of non-contiguities and unfortunate reactions between moving parts that no-one expected to move. To be sure, part of a lawyer’s job should be to identify those parts of the ecosystem than ''can'' be fixed, and to prepare the land for tilling: to commoditise new products, productionise them, and hand them off to operations teams who ''can'' make widgets out of them — but ''lawyers don’t make widgets''. Lawyers are ''bushwhackers''. Lawyers are ''pioneers''.


The folks in [[reg tech]] have this exact problem, too: their business model doesn’t work. You can’t continue to extract an annuity out of a quick bit of coding you bought from a guy you found on UpWork. No-one will pay for it. So you have no option but to try to extract ''[[rent]]''. But, ''problem'': the reason anyone wants [[reg tech]] is to intermediate an ''existing'' [[rent-seeker]]. It’s a bum model. Hence: [[Why is reg tech so disappointing?|reg tech remains disappointing]].
The folks in [[reg tech]] have this exact problem, too: their business model doesn’t work. You can’t continue to extract an annuity out of a quick bit of coding you bought from a guy you found on UpWork. No-one will pay for it. So you have no option but to try to extract ''[[rent]]''. But, ''problem'': the reason anyone wants [[reg tech]] is to intermediate an ''existing'' [[rent-seeker]]. It’s a bum model. Hence: [[Why is reg tech so disappointing?|reg tech remains disappointing]].