Contract analysis

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In which the curmudgeonly old sod puts the world to rights.
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Luminaries, thought leaders and digital prophets will tell you that machines can now read and annotate contracts, such that yon poor legal eagles are no longer needed and will shortly by out of a job.

Besides manipulating the physical world, machines are also increasingly encroaching on tasks that, until now, have required a human ability to think and reason. In the legal sphere for example J. P. Morgan has developed a system that reviews commercial loan agreements, it does in a few seconds it does what would have required, they estimate, about 360,000 hours of human lawyer time.
— Daniel Susskind, A world Without Work

Sounds fantastic, doesn't it? Preternaturally intelligent silicon minds scanning and processing gigabytes of diverse text in an instant and analysing it for all material quirks and issues, like Zen from Blake’s Seven.

Data extraction tools

But let’s just stop and consider what is actually going on here. J.P. Morgan reviewing, presumably tens and probably hundreds of thousands of commercial loans. (I am allowing JPM’s legal eagles, for whom I have great respect, ten hours to review each loan.)

These loans will, to ber sure, be lengthy and rendered in the hideous, overwrought prose of the banking lawyer, to be sure, but — with template variations and periodic flourishes of flannelry, every one will be the same. There will be a basic, predictable, schedule of customer details and economic variables — dates, amounts, currencies, rates, and optional elections — but the legal terms of the loans will be more or less homogeneous.

Processing thirty thousand tables of variables would, doubtless, take a working lifetime of person hours, and would drive each of the poor saps assigned the task to distraction, but to be clear there would be absolutely no judgment, let alone legal acumen, required to process and extract this information.

Assigning a lawyer to this task would, in any era, have been an act of unusual economic folly and cruel punishment on the lawyer. It is not news that difference engines can process information better than the meatware. JP Morgan’s sensible use of information processing power is no horseman on the ridge.

Contract review tools

More potentially transformative are the emerging range of artificially intelligent contract review tools on the market. These promise to take a contract draft received from a counterparty, and analyse it against a pre-defined playbook, together with other examples which the machine has already learned from, mark it up, and return it for completion of the negotiation. A common subject for these contract review tools is confidentiality agreements.

But even here the technology disappoints and, in predictable ways, makes an existing problem even worse. It is worth investigating why.