Template:M intro isda on termination: Difference between revisions

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{{drop|C|ommerce gives the}} lie to the idea that life is a [[zero-sum game]]. This was [[Adam Smith]]’s great liberating insight: life need not be [[Thomas Hobbes|nasty, brutish and short]] after all. Each of us will only strike a bargain if, on our own terms, we will be better off as a result. That being the case, there need is no logical to a commercial relationship: it is an [[infinite game]]. If we are flexible enough, open-minded enough, and good enough at playing [[Finite and Infinite Games|infinite games]] we can keep this positive feedback loop going indefinitely. ''Infinitely'', even.  
{{drop|[[Terminating a financial contract|C]]|ommerce gives the}} lie to the idea that life is a [[zero-sum game]]. This was [[Adam Smith]]’s great insight: things need not be [[Thomas Hobbes|nasty, brutish and short]] and, when it comes to commerce, generally aren’t.  


Therefore, we wish our relationships well, pray for them godspeed for a long life and, should it come to it, a peaceful ultimate transition from the flush of vital ardour into the restful stasis of the hereafter, but we know this is not always possible. Things do not always work out.
Each of us will only strike a bargain if we think, on our own terms, we’ll be better off as a result. That being so, once we’ve built a good business relationship, there is no good reason to ''end'' it. All being well, trade is an [[infinite game]]. If we are good enough at it, we can keep its [[Feedback loop|positive feedback loop]] going, for the mutual betterment of everyone, indefinitely. ''Infinitely'', even.  


Therefore, we pack our trunk with tools and weapons with which, if needed, we can engineer an exit. There is no more sacred time in the life of our commercial arrangements than our departure from their earthly clutch. But we do not talk about it enough. Below, JC comes over all over-analytical and counts the ways we do this.
Therefore, we wish our relationships well and pray Godspeed for their long and fruity lives. Should the plums dangling from this or that branch shrivel; if things become more trouble than they’re worth, we can of course call time and bid our relationship a peaceful transition to the hereafter.
 
But still, things do not always work out quite so equably. Sometimes, an ill wind blows. Relationships become fraught, counterparties get themselves in a pickle.
 
Therefore, we pack our trunk with tools, implements and weapons with which, if we must, we can engineer a faster exit from our contracts.  
 
There are a few different ways this can happen. While lawyers will happily rabbit on about these hypotheticals in the gruesome ''specific'', we do not talk about them in ''general'' terms often enough. So let’s do that now.
 
Below, we count the ''types'' of ways to safely put a commercial relationship in the ground.


====Customers and service providers====
====Customers and service providers====
{{drop|N|ow the great}} majority of [[financial contract]]s are between a “provider” on one side — a [[bank]], [[broker]] or [[dealer]] who provides a ''service'', broadly described: money outright, finance against an asset, or a financial exposure — and a “customer” on the other who buys that service. The customer is, as ever, king: the services exist for its benefit exclusively: the provider’s net interest is limited to managing the financial exposure that comes from providing that service, and taking some kind of [[fee]], [[commission]] or economic [[rent]] on top of that by way of consideration.  
{{drop|N|ow the great}} majority of [[financial contract]]s are between a “''provider''” on one side — a [[bank]], [[broker]] or [[dealer]] providing a ''service'', broadly described: money outright, finance against an asset or a financial exposure — and a “''[[customer]]''” on the other who ''pays'' for that service. The customer is, as ever, king: the service exists for her exclusive benefit: the provider’s only wish is to manage its resources to most efficiently provide that service and extract a [[fee]], [[commission]] or economic [[rent]] by way of [[consideration]] for it.
 
“Providers” are indifferent to how the instruments they serve perform. They do not mean to be “the other side” of the trade. They are, loosely, ''[[intermediaries]]''. [[Agent|Agents]]. They match risk-takers, collect a fee and wish the parties well without taking sides: they are “[[compassion]]ate”, not “[[Empathy|empathetic]]”. As long as their customers remain in fine fettle, they should never need, much less want, to ''terminate'' their services, for that is how they earn a crust.
 
But all the same we should note something important here: the expectations of parties to a service contract are very different: the customer takes risk and retains the prerogative to go ''off'' risk as she sees fit, as long as she pays the provider’s fees and whatever it needs to terminate the arrangements it made to provide the service in the first place: its “[[breakage costs]]”.
 
But [[Ceteris paribus|all else being equal]], a provider ''cannot'' exit a service contract early without the customer’s permission. A fixed term [[financial contract]], binds a ''provider'' in a way it does not bind its ''customer''.  


Providers do not mean to be economically “the other side” of the services they provide. They are, loosely, ''intermediaries''. Agents. They do not take a direct opposite exposure. All being well, they are indifferent to how well the instruments they provide perform — so, as long as they manage the risks of providing their services, they should not need to ''terminate'' them and indeed should want to keep them going, seeing how that is how they earn a crust.  
As long as the customer remains in good health, no problem. But the customer’s general prospects may darken. She may turn out not to be as good as her word. The regulatory environment may change, making the services harder or more costly to provide. There are times where a service provider may, justifiably, want out.


So expectations on either side of a service contract are different: the customer has market risk and it is her prerogative to go ''off'' risk as she sees fit. She can exit whenever she wants, by paying the provider’s outstanding fees and whatever it needs to terminate the arrangements it made to provide the service rendered — its “[[breakage costs]]”.
Where it is no longer sure of its expected return, the provider must have a set of “weapons” it can use to get out of its contracts. These fall into a bunch of different categories, as we shall see.


But [[ceteris paribus|all else being equal]], the provider ''cannot'' just exit without the customer’s permission. A [[financial contract]] with a fixed term, therefore, binds the ''provider'' but not the ''customer'' to that term.  
Put these “termination scenarios” into three categories: ''without cause''; ''external events'' and ''counterparty failure''.


But things can change. The customer’s financial outlook may darken. She may not be as good as her word. The regulatory environment may change, making the services harder or more expensive to provide.
====Without cause====
{{drop|T|erminations “without cause”}}<ref>You hear these described as “no-fault” terminations, but there is no ''fault'' in a termination brought about by unforeseen externalities, either.</ref> arise ''just because'' — no fault, no pressing need; just a gradual drifting apart of interests. As we grow in life, the things we value change. Passions of youth dampen, we tend more towards scabrous songs of experience than exuberant songs of innocence. If this should mean our commercial paths diverge, we prescribe a notice period long enough to allow each other to make reasonable alternative arrangements, but otherwise, we wish each other well and carry on our way.  


Hence, the provider must have a set of “weapons” it can use to get out of such a term arrangement where it can no longer be sure of its expected return. These fall into a bunch of different categories, as we shall see:
“Without cause” termination rights for a service provider will generally be “clean-up” arrangements: to clear out low-value and dormant clientry whose mere presence on the books implies ongoing compliance or operational costs. These rights will not usually impair in-flight Transactions, which a service provider must still see through before it can be allowed to move on.  


====Categories of termination====
=====Pseudo-termination rights=====
We would put these “exit scenarios” into three categories: terminations “''without cause''”<ref>You hear these described as “no-fault” terminations, but there is no ''fault'' in a termination brought about by unforeseen externalities, either.</ref> terminations due to ''unforeseen external events''; and terminations due to ''counterparty failure''. This last category — which we might also label “default” — in turn breaks into two: ''non-performance'' and ''credit deterioration''. There is also an odd category of ''pseudo''-termination rights that a dealer must have, but would never insist on using and, curiously, relate to concerns about its ''own'' solvency.
[[Dealer]]s sometimes must have rights to terminate in-flight customer Transactions on notice without reason. These will often be “''pseudo”'' rights that a dealer must ''have'' but will never actually ''use''. These rights help to optimise their liquidity and capital buffers, therefore reducing the dealers’ own costs of doing customer business.<ref>See {{isdaprov|Automatic Early Termination}}, which is an extreme example of a pseudo termination right: in that it triggers automatically. Much more to say about that on the {{isdaprov|AET}} page.</ref> For example, a [[swap dealer]]’s right to terminate a customer’s [[synthetic equity swap]] position on (longish) notice. If it has such a right, the dealer can treat its equity swap exposures as a “short-term obligation” for capital purposes — because it ''could'' get out, if it ''wanted'' to — and this is enough to get optimised regulatory treatment.


But a sound-minded dealer ''having'' such a termination right is a different and distant thing from ever ''exercising'' it. It might be ''forced'' to, in the direst of stress circumstances, where its own survival was threatened — we are in [[Lehman|September 2008]] territory here — but in that case, with the dealer teetering, most vigilant customers would be moving valuable positions away in any case.


=====Without cause=====
Pseudo-termination rights, in that [[Dealer|dealers]] absolutely must ''have'' them but would never ''use'' them, are a marker of incipient failure in the [[The Victory of Form over Substance|battle between substance and form]]. What matters is that the termination right exists, not that it is ever used. It is sometimes hard to persuade neurotic buy side types that such termination rights are harmless, but in large part they are.
Terminations without cause: they arise ''just because'' — no fault, no pressing need; just a gradual drifting apart of interests. As we grow in life, the things we value change. Passions of youth dampen, we tend more towards songs of experience than those of innocent exuberance, and we sing those to a different tune. Here we prescribe a notice period long enough to allow our counterparty to make alternative arrangements it needs to keep its own house in order, but otherwise, we wish each other well and carry along on our way.  
=====Pseudo termination rights=====
There is a fourth category: the ''pseudo''-termination right: this is a right the provider needs for formalistic or regulatory reasons, but which it never expects to actually use. These may include, for example, a dealer’s right to terminate on say 30 days’ notice from a synthetic equity derivative contract — this entitles the dealer to treat the exposure as a “short-term obligation” for regulatory purposes, dramatically reducing its capital cost of offering the business, but it is not aright the dealer would ever expect to exercise except in the direst of circumstances (where its own survival was threatened).

Latest revision as of 14:53, 1 November 2024

Commerce gives the lie to the idea that life is a zero-sum game. This was Adam Smith’s great insight: things need not be nasty, brutish and short and, when it comes to commerce, generally aren’t.

Each of us will only strike a bargain if we think, on our own terms, we’ll be better off as a result. That being so, once we’ve built a good business relationship, there is no good reason to end it. All being well, trade is an infinite game. If we are good enough at it, we can keep its positive feedback loop going, for the mutual betterment of everyone, indefinitely. Infinitely, even.

Therefore, we wish our relationships well and pray Godspeed for their long and fruity lives. Should the plums dangling from this or that branch shrivel; if things become more trouble than they’re worth, we can of course call time and bid our relationship a peaceful transition to the hereafter.

But still, things do not always work out quite so equably. Sometimes, an ill wind blows. Relationships become fraught, counterparties get themselves in a pickle.

Therefore, we pack our trunk with tools, implements and weapons with which, if we must, we can engineer a faster exit from our contracts.

There are a few different ways this can happen. While lawyers will happily rabbit on about these hypotheticals in the gruesome specific, we do not talk about them in general terms often enough. So let’s do that now.

Below, we count the types of ways to safely put a commercial relationship in the ground.

Customers and service providers

Now the great majority of financial contracts are between a “provider” on one side — a bank, broker or dealer providing a “service”, broadly described: money outright, finance against an asset or a financial exposure — and a “customer” on the other who pays for that service. The customer is, as ever, king: the service exists for her exclusive benefit: the provider’s only wish is to manage its resources to most efficiently provide that service and extract a fee, commission or economic rent by way of consideration for it.

“Providers” are indifferent to how the instruments they serve perform. They do not mean to be “the other side” of the trade. They are, loosely, intermediaries. Agents. They match risk-takers, collect a fee and wish the parties well without taking sides: they are “compassionate”, not “empathetic”. As long as their customers remain in fine fettle, they should never need, much less want, to terminate their services, for that is how they earn a crust.

But all the same we should note something important here: the expectations of parties to a service contract are very different: the customer takes risk and retains the prerogative to go off risk as she sees fit, as long as she pays the provider’s fees and whatever it needs to terminate the arrangements it made to provide the service in the first place: its “breakage costs”.

But all else being equal, a provider cannot exit a service contract early without the customer’s permission. A fixed term financial contract, binds a provider in a way it does not bind its customer.

As long as the customer remains in good health, no problem. But the customer’s general prospects may darken. She may turn out not to be as good as her word. The regulatory environment may change, making the services harder or more costly to provide. There are times where a service provider may, justifiably, want out.

Where it is no longer sure of its expected return, the provider must have a set of “weapons” it can use to get out of its contracts. These fall into a bunch of different categories, as we shall see.

Put these “termination scenarios” into three categories: without cause; external events and counterparty failure.

Without cause

Terminations “without cause”[1] arise just because — no fault, no pressing need; just a gradual drifting apart of interests. As we grow in life, the things we value change. Passions of youth dampen, we tend more towards scabrous songs of experience than exuberant songs of innocence. If this should mean our commercial paths diverge, we prescribe a notice period long enough to allow each other to make reasonable alternative arrangements, but otherwise, we wish each other well and carry on our way.

“Without cause” termination rights for a service provider will generally be “clean-up” arrangements: to clear out low-value and dormant clientry whose mere presence on the books implies ongoing compliance or operational costs. These rights will not usually impair in-flight Transactions, which a service provider must still see through before it can be allowed to move on.

Pseudo-termination rights

Dealers sometimes must have rights to terminate in-flight customer Transactions on notice without reason. These will often be “pseudo” rights that a dealer must have but will never actually use. These rights help to optimise their liquidity and capital buffers, therefore reducing the dealers’ own costs of doing customer business.[2] For example, a swap dealer’s right to terminate a customer’s synthetic equity swap position on (longish) notice. If it has such a right, the dealer can treat its equity swap exposures as a “short-term obligation” for capital purposes — because it could get out, if it wanted to — and this is enough to get optimised regulatory treatment.

But a sound-minded dealer having such a termination right is a different and distant thing from ever exercising it. It might be forced to, in the direst of stress circumstances, where its own survival was threatened — we are in September 2008 territory here — but in that case, with the dealer teetering, most vigilant customers would be moving valuable positions away in any case.

Pseudo-termination rights, in that dealers absolutely must have them but would never use them, are a marker of incipient failure in the battle between substance and form. What matters is that the termination right exists, not that it is ever used. It is sometimes hard to persuade neurotic buy side types that such termination rights are harmless, but in large part they are.

  1. You hear these described as “no-fault” terminations, but there is no fault in a termination brought about by unforeseen externalities, either.
  2. See Automatic Early Termination, which is an extreme example of a pseudo termination right: in that it triggers automatically. Much more to say about that on the AET page.