Template:M intro isda a swap as a loan: Difference between revisions

Jump to navigation Jump to search
No edit summary
No edit summary
Line 21: Line 21:
The difference between ''customer'' and ''dealer'' is not who is “long” and who “short” — one of the great [[Swappist Oath|swappist]] beauties is that customers can go long ''or'' short, as they please — nor on who pays “fixed” and who “floating”.   
The difference between ''customer'' and ''dealer'' is not who is “long” and who “short” — one of the great [[Swappist Oath|swappist]] beauties is that customers can go long ''or'' short, as they please — nor on who pays “fixed” and who “floating”.   


The difference between customer and borrower is ''who is economically borrowing''.   
The difference between customer and borrower is ''who, economically, is borrowing''.   


For a ''customer'' the object of any transaction is to ''change its overall market exposure'': to leg into positions it did not have before, or leg out of ones it did. This sounds obvious enough. But dealers do ''not''. They say flat.  
For a ''customer'' the object of any transaction is to ''change its overall market exposure'': to leg into positions it did not have before, or leg out of ones it did. This sounds obvious enough. But dealers do ''not''. They say flat.  


“Hang on, though, JC: you yourself say a swap is a bilateral contract. How can that be so? Does it not follow that if the ''customer'' changes its position, the dealer must be doing so too?”  
“Hang on, though, JC: you yourself say a swap is a bilateral contract. How can that be so? Does it not follow that if the ''customer'' changes its position one way, the dealer must be doing so the other way?”  


Well, ''no''.  
Well, ''no''.  


The dealer ''provides'' exposure without taking any itself. It thereby earns a commission. This is all the excitement the dealer wants. The dealer hedges that market risk away. Without no market risk, the dealer is left with only customer ''credit'' exposure. ''As it would have'' ''in a loan''. (Spoiler: the similarities don’t end there.)
The dealer ''provides'' exposure without taking any itself. It thereby earns a [[commission]]. This is all the excitement the dealer wants. The dealer hedges the market risk of the customer’s trade — which, yes, is the opposite to the customer’s position — away. Without no market risk, the dealer has only customer ''credit'' exposure.  


Ok: but how does that fleeting resemblance turn a bilateral swap into a “synthetic loan” from the dealer to the customer?
''As it would have'' ''in a loan''. (Spoiler: the similarities don’t end there.)


Imagine the JC’s in-house [[hedge fund]], [[Hackthorn Capital Partners]] holds USD10m of that redoubtable stalwart of legal [[Thought leader|thought-leader]]<nowiki/>ship [[Lexrifyly]], and wants to get exposure to the fabulous new [[Legaltech startup conference|legaltech start-up]], [[Cryptöagle]].
Ok: but how does that fleeting resemblance turn an obviously bilateral swap into a “synthetic loan”?
 
Imagine the JC’s in-house [[hedge fund]], [[Hackthorn Capital Partners]] holds USD10m of that redoubtable stalwart of legal [[Thought leader|thought-leader]]<nowiki/>ship [[Lexrifyly]], and wants to get exposure to the JC’s fabulous new [[Legaltech startup conference|legaltech start-up]], [[Cryptöagle]].


It can do one of three things:  
It can do one of three things:  


{{Quote|{{divhelvetica|
{{Quote|{{divhelvetica|
(i) ''sell'' [[Lexrifyly]] and ''buy'' [[Cryptöagle]] — this is an outright long investment;
(i) ''sell'' [[Lexrifyly]] and ''buy'' [[Cryptöagle]] — that is, make an outright long investment;


(ii) ''hold'' [[Lexrifyly]] and ''borrow'' to buy [[Cryptöagle]] — this is a financed investment;
(ii) ''hold'' [[Lexrifyly]] and ''borrow'' to buy [[Cryptöagle]] — that is, take a margin loan;


(iii) ''hold'' Lexrifyly and ''get exposure to'' [[Cryptöagle]] via a swap — conventionally, not a financed investment. (''But...'')}}}}
(iii) ''hold'' [[Lexrifyly]] and ''get synthetic exposure to'' [[Cryptöagle]] via an equity swap — that is, conventionally, ''not'' a financed investment. (''But...'')}}}}


For ease of argument, let’s say on the investment date, both [[Cryptöagle]] and [[Lexrifyly]] trade at USD1 per share, so both positions are for 10m shares. Here are the positions:
For ease of argument, let’s say on the investment date, both [[Cryptöagle]] and [[Lexrifyly]] trade at USD1 per share, so both positions are for 10m shares.  
 
Here are the positions:


{{Quote|{{divhelvetica|
{{Quote|{{divhelvetica|
Line 72: Line 76:
}}}}
}}}}


Notice how similar the loan and the swap are. Even though there is no physical loan, the investor’s payment profile is the same. It pays a floating rate, and has the USD10m notional value of the loan deducted from its pay-out. And like a loan, the [[equity swap]] gives Hackthorn exposure to [[Cryptöagle]] whilst keeping its exposure to [[Lexrifyly]], which Hackthorn uses to fund cashflows on its new capital asset.  
Notice how similar the economics of loan and the swap are. Even though there is no physical loan, the investor’s payment profile is the same. It pays a floating rate, and has the USD10m notional value of the loan deducted from its pay-out. And like a loan, the [[equity swap]] gives Hackthorn exposure to [[Cryptöagle]] whilst keeping its exposure to [[Lexrifyly]], which Hackthorn uses to fund cashflows on its new capital asset.  


This is a form of ''[[leverage]]''. ''As it would have'' ''in a loan.''  
This is a form of ''[[leverage]]''. ''As it would have'' ''in a loan.''  


The floating rate Hackthorn pays is ''implied funding''. The dealer will only accept this if it is satisfied Hackthorn has enough capital to finance its swap payments and settle any differences at termination. This is the same risk calculation a bank would make on a loan.<ref>To keep it simple, I have ignored the scope for synthetic margin loan and rehypothecation.</ref>   
The [[floating rate]] Hackthorn pays is ''implied funding''. The dealer will only accept this if it is satisfied Hackthorn has enough capital to finance its swap payments and settle any differences at termination. This is the same risk calculation a bank would make on a loan.<ref>To keep it simple, I have ignored the scope for synthetic margin loan and rehypothecation.</ref>   


But, hang on: this is a bilateral arrangement, right, so isn’t the converse also true, of the dealer? Isn’t the dealer, in a sense, “borrowing” by paying the total return of the asset to get “exposure” to the floating rate in the same way? Is not a “short” swap position, for a dealer, exactly the same as a “long” swap position for a customer?  
But, hang on: this is a bilateral arrangement, right, so isn’t the converse also true, of the dealer? Isn’t the dealer, in a sense, “borrowing” by paying the total return of the asset to get “exposure” to the floating rate in the same way? Is not a “short” swap position, for a dealer, exactly the same as a “long” swap position for a customer?  
Line 82: Line 86:
No, because in providing these swap exposures to its customers, the dealer simultaneously [[Delta-hedging|delta-hedges]]. It does not changing its own market position. The customer ''buys'' an exposure: that is, starts ''without'' and ends up ''with'' a “position”; the dealer manufactures and then ''sells'' an exposure: it starts ''without'' a position, takes an order, creates a position, transfers it to the customer and ends up where it started, ''without'' a position.   
No, because in providing these swap exposures to its customers, the dealer simultaneously [[Delta-hedging|delta-hedges]]. It does not changing its own market position. The customer ''buys'' an exposure: that is, starts ''without'' and ends up ''with'' a “position”; the dealer manufactures and then ''sells'' an exposure: it starts ''without'' a position, takes an order, creates a position, transfers it to the customer and ends up where it started, ''without'' a position.   


Provided the [[dealer]] knows what it is about, its main risk in running a swap portfolio is not therefore market risk — it should not have any — but ''customer credit'' ''risk''. Should a customer fail, the dealer’s book is no longer matched: its delta-hedge is now an outright long or short position.  
Provided the [[dealer]] knows what it is about, its main risk in running a swap portfolio is not, therefore, market risk — it should not have any — but ''customer credit'' ''risk''. Should a customer fail, the dealer’s book is no longer matched: its delta-hedge is now an outright long or short position.  


==== Fixed/floating swaps ====
==== Fixed/floating swaps ====
Line 88: Line 92:
:—{{buchstein}}, {{dsh}}
:—{{buchstein}}, {{dsh}}
}}
}}
Ok; that’s a delta-one equity swap. But is this kind of [[synthetic equity swap|synthetic prime brokerage]] just an odd use case? Aren’t “normal” swaps truly bilateral and less “lendy” in nature? How about good old fashioned [[Interest rate swap|interest rate swaps]]? Surely ''paying'' a fixed rate, while ''receiving'' a floating rate, has none of these same characteristics of borrowership and loanery about it?  
Ok; that’s a delta-one equity swap. But is this kind of [[synthetic equity swap|synthetic prime brokerage]] just an odd use case? Aren’t “normal” swaps truly bilateral? How about good old fashioned [[Interest rate swap|interest rate swaps]]? Surely ''paying'' a fixed rate, while ''receiving'' a floating rate, has none of these same characteristics of borrowership and [[loanery]] about it?  
====Income implies principal====
====Income implies principal====
The first point to make here is that in the real universe of actual, non-synthetic investments, fixed or floating rate cashflows ''do not exist independently of a principal investment''. (This is just as true of dividend streams on equities). This is because they are necessarily ''income'' on a capital investment.   
The first point to make here is that in the real universe of actual, non-synthetic investments, fixed or floating rate cashflows ''do not exist independently of a principal investment''. (This is just as true of dividend streams on equities, of course). This is because they are necessarily ''income'' on a capital investment.   


Oh, sure, you could sell a strip of [[coupon]]<nowiki/>s off a [[Debt security|bond]]: okay. But to do that, there must first ''be'' a bond, and you have to buy it, cut it up and sell the stripped bond back into the market. Once you’ve done that, you have your disembodied interest cashflow all right, but you also have unleashed this weird, mutilated, principal-only instrument that flaps around the market at a heavy discount to a fully-limbed equivalent, sort of like Weird Barbie or one of those intercised kids with no daemon in ''His Dark Materials''.  
Oh, sure, you could detach and sell a strip of [[coupon]]<nowiki/>s off a [[Debt security|bond]]: okay. But to do that, there must first ''be'' a bond, and you have to buy it, cut it up and sell the stripped bond back into the market. Once you’ve done that, you have your disembodied interest cashflow all right, but you also have this weird, mutilated, principal-only instrument that flaps around the market at a heavy discount to a fully-limbed equivalent, sort of like Weird Barbie or one of those intercised kids with no daemon in ''His Dark Materials''.  


Repeat: in the real world, ''income cashflows depend on an income-generating asset''. Stands to reason. A rate with out principal is like a shadow without a boy.  
Repeat: in the real world, ''income cashflows depend on an income-generating asset''. Stands to reason. A rate with out principal is like a shadow without a boy.  
Line 98: Line 102:
Do swaps change all that? No: because at some point, swaps need to be ''based''.
Do swaps change all that? No: because at some point, swaps need to be ''based''.


It was only once the [[Children of the Woods|Children of the Forest]] wrought their wristy magic on the [[First Men]] in the dark thickets of [[Bretton Woods|Woods of Bretton]] that the ways of the [[Single agreement|Single Agreement]] came into common understanding. Only then were leaden, earth-bound notions of principal swept away; the swap market took wing upon the nuclear power of infinite leverage. Income flows could bust free of their leaden principal host and frolic in ISDA’s glittering starlight.
It was only once the [[Children of the Woods|Children of the Forest]] wrought their wristy magic on the [[First Men]] in the dark thickets of [[Bretton Woods|Woods of Bretton]] that the ways of the [[Single agreement|Single Agreement]] came into common understanding. Only then were leaden, earth-bound notions of necessary principal swept away. Only then did the swap market take wing, upon the nuclear power of infinite [[leverage]].  
 
Income flows could, at last, bust free of their leaden principal host and frolic in ISDA’s glittering starlight.


In this ''synthetic'' world we have the mathematical tools to ''hypothetically'' isolate income from the assets which generate it, and trade the income streams as discrete instruments, but at some point, they must intersect with real-world instruments, ''because that is what they are derived from''. For a customer to take on a derivative position, someone else, somewhere in the linear chain of financial instruments hedging that exposure must, at some point, buy a real-world hedge. Including its principal. ''And that must be financed''.  
In this ''synthetic'' world we have the mathematical tools to ''hypothetically'' isolate income from the assets which generate it, and trade those income streams as discrete instruments, but at some point, they must intersect with real-world instruments, ''because that is what they are derived from''. For a customer to take on a derivative position, someone else, somewhere in the linear chain of financial instruments hedging that exposure must, at some point, buy a real-world hedge. ''Including its principal''. And ''that'' must be financed.  


If you want a [[floating rate]] on a notional of a hundred bucks, you pony up a hundred bucks and buy a floating-rate note. That means selling down an asset you already have. If you don’t want to sell down that asset, you can borrow the hundred bucks at a fixed rate from the dealer who is selling you the floating rate note, pay that fixed rate out of your assets, and bingo: the principal on the note and your loan cancel out and ''you have an interest rate swap''.  
If you want a [[floating rate]] on a notional of a hundred bucks, you pony up a hundred bucks and buy a floating-rate note. That means selling down an asset you already have. If you don’t want to sell down that asset, you can borrow the hundred bucks at a fixed rate from the dealer who is selling you the floating rate note, pay that fixed rate out of your assets, and bingo: the principal on the note you’ve bought cancels out against your loan and ''you have an interest rate swap''.  
   
   
====Leverage is a state of mind (or balance-sheet)====
====Leverage is a state of mind (or balance-sheet)====


One last way to look at this: an [[interest rate swap]] is a levered investment in a fixed income asset. Interest rate swaps are, in this sense, “synthetic fixed income prime brokerage”: a [[margin loan]] to buy a fixed income asset.
One last way to look at this: an [[interest rate swap]] is a levered investment in a fixed income asset. Interest rate swaps are, in this sense, “synthetic ''fixed income'' prime brokerage”: a [[margin loan]] to buy a fixed income asset.


We can see this by considering the parties’ respective economic positions before and after trading. The customer changes its net position; the [[dealer]] does not. Swapping a fixed cashflow for a floating one is to ''keep'' the “asset” funding that fixed cashflow, and to borrow the funds required to buy the new floating-rate asset. Because that borrowing has the same principal amount as the purchased floating-rate asset, the principal amounts cancel out, and the customer left with just the floating rate cashflow, for which it must pay the fixed rate cashflow it has agreed.  
We can see this by considering the parties’ respective economic positions before and after trading. The customer changes its net position; the [[dealer]] does not. Swapping a fixed cashflow for a floating one is to ''keep'' the “asset” funding that fixed cashflow, and to borrow the funds required to buy the new floating-rate asset. Because that borrowing has the same principal amount as the purchased floating-rate asset, the principal amounts cancel out, and the customer left with just the floating rate cashflow, for which it must pay the fixed rate cashflow it has agreed.  


Without that implied loan, the customer would have to sell an asset to raise the proceeds to buy the floating-rate bond outright from the dealer. That is, pay the principal amount to the dealer, and acquire the interest ''and'' principal cashflows of a floating rate asset. Here the customer is certainly not borrowing anything. It is making a fully-funded long investment.
Without that implied loan, the customer would have to sell an asset to raise the proceeds to buy the floating-rate bond outright from the dealer. That is, pay the principal amount to the dealer, and acquire the interest ''and'' principal cashflows of a floating rate asset. Here the customer is certainly not borrowing anything. It is making a fully-funded long investment.