The dog in the night time: Difference between revisions
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*'''Belief in paradigm shift as part of the story''': We’ve banished risk. The internet has changed economics forever | *'''Belief in paradigm shift as part of the story''': We’ve banished risk. The internet has changed economics forever | ||
*'''Micromanager''': Single person unusually able to influence/control the narrative | *'''Micromanager''': Single person unusually able to influence/control the narrative | ||
*'''Cult of personality''': single svengali | *'''Cult of personality''': single svengali, genius, nobel prize-winners, NASDAQ chairmen, | ||
*'''Secrecy''': Insistence on confidentiality not just of unannounced plans but of entire operation. Black box operations. | *'''Secrecy''': Insistence on confidentiality not just of unannounced plans but of entire operation. Black box operations. | ||
*'''High turnover''': Especially when combined with confidentiality. Workplace bullying etc. | *'''High turnover''': Especially when combined with confidentiality. Workplace bullying etc. | ||
Revision as of 13:52, 28 January 2019
Podcast idea - look at unusual anomalies in the markets and ask why they persist
Categories
Fraudsters
what are the red-flags that an out and out fraud, pyramid, ponzi scheme is going on? are there some consistent themes?
Theories:
- Over-reliance on regulators: we imagine regulators/rating agencies are better resourced, more powerful and more talented than they are. - assumed the SEC was doing its job
- Credibility: Connection to well-regarded community pillars - If George Schultz is on the board the company must be legit, right? We imagine community pillars have done their due diligence on our behalf?
- Interconnectedness of red-flags
- Belief in paradigm shift as part of the story: We’ve banished risk. The internet has changed economics forever
- Micromanager: Single person unusually able to influence/control the narrative
- Cult of personality: single svengali, genius, nobel prize-winners, NASDAQ chairmen,
- Secrecy: Insistence on confidentiality not just of unannounced plans but of entire operation. Black box operations.
- High turnover: Especially when combined with confidentiality. Workplace bullying etc.
- Hostility: combative/aggressive demeanour to criticism
- No errors: no screw ups, no bad launches: everything is fine. Real companies have setbacks. Especially if defended with hostility - e.g., you threaten to ruin EVERYTHING with your questions.
- The dog ate my homework: Promised answers to your questions are delayed, derailed, lost or excused. There's an excuse for everything. The excuses are implausible/out of proportion with the question. (what's the most plausible explanation: The dog really did eat your homework or ---?
- Sleepy backwater: It’s a boring and unglamorous part of the operational network. No one’s taking any risks there: Libor, Kerviel, Abodolo
- Weird whistleblowers: The people who called it out were unglamorous, outsiders, easy to catagorise as cranks
With all the checks and balances in financial regulation, how did:
- Bernie Madoff get away with it? - Author Harry Markopoulous
- Nick Leeson
- Theranos
- Enron
- Dot com bust
- CDOs
- Libor
Women in STEM
Does regulation work? - Netting - Diversity