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====LIBOR and the business of banking==== | ====LIBOR and the business of banking==== | ||
{{drop|T|he basic model}} of a bank is to borrow short-term, at a low rate, and lend long-term | {{drop|T|he basic model}} of a bank is to borrow, short-term, at a low rate, and lend, long-term, at a high rate. ''Generally'' banks calculate interest on overnight deposits, by which they borrow, at a [[Floating rate|floating]] rate. And they charge interest on the term loans, which they lend, at [[Fixed rate|fixed]] rates. | ||
''Generally'', therefore, banks ''borrow'' in floating and ''lend'' in fixed. They have “structural interest rate risk”. They want floating rates to be low. In that case, all other things being equal, they make money. (All other things are not always equal, though, as we know (but, apparently, Silicon Valley Bank did not).) | |||
All other things are not always equal, though, as we know (but, apparently, Silicon Valley Bank did not). | |||
How to determine what that floating rate should be day to day? | So, a foundational question: How to determine what that floating rate should be, day to day? | ||
Enter the [[British Bankers’ Association]]. This was just the sleepy, city-grandees-in-a-smoke-filled-gentlemen’s-club-in-Threadneedle-Street of your imagination. Inasmuch as it ever did anything useful, the BBA compiled LIBOR, sleepily, by inviting about 18 banks, literally, to phone in the rate at which they could borrow in various currencies and maturities in the market each day, | Enter the [[British Bankers’ Association]]. This was just the sleepy, city-grandees-in-a-smoke-filled-gentlemen’s-club-in-Threadneedle-Street of your imagination. Inasmuch as it ever did anything useful, the BBA compiled LIBOR, sleepily, by inviting about 18 banks, literally, to ''phone in'' the rate at which they could borrow in various currencies and maturities in the market each day, | ||
The banks could then set their rates — for deposits and loans — based on the day’s | The BBA would then “trim” the top and bottom four submissions and average the remainder to produce a daily LIBOR rate for each currency and maturity, then toddle off for a liquid lunch before their regular three o’clock tee time. | ||
The banks could then set their rates — for deposits and loans — based on the day’s published LIBOR rate. Happy, dull stuff. | |||
Notwithstanding that this process played an important part in the world’s financial plumbing, LIBOR submitting was yet a dull, unexotic backwater. All the cool kids were out shorting structured credit. | Notwithstanding that this process played an important part in the world’s financial plumbing, LIBOR submitting was yet a dull, unexotic backwater. All the cool kids were out shorting structured credit. | ||
As per the basic model, to manage their structural interest rate risk, | As per the basic model, to manage their structural interest rate risk, banks ''generally'' would want LIBOR low — but deposits are not the only show in town. Some banks — principally those that were swap dealers — had exposure to the interest rate market through swaps. | ||
Here, the bank “swaps” interest rates with its customers: one customer might | Here, the bank “swaps” interest rates with its customers: one customer might pay a fixed rate and receive a floating rate; another might swap floating for fixed. | ||
If a | If a dealer swaps a fixed rate for a floating rate, and then LIBOR goes up, by definition the replacement value of its incoming floating rate will increase — a stream of 3.25% cashflows is numerically worth more than a stream of 3.00% cashflows, all else being equal — while the replacement cost of the outgoing fixed rate stays the same. The bank’s net position in that swap —its “[[mark-to-market]] exposure” — has moved [[in-the-money]]. | ||
While dealers try to balance their customer swaps to offset each other as far as possible, they may also wish to manage that structural interest rate risk that arises from their normal banking activities. | While dealers try to balance their customer swaps to offset each other as far as possible, they may also wish to manage that structural interest rate risk that arises from their normal banking activities. |