Talk:Bayesian reasoning: Difference between revisions
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Amwelladmin (talk | contribs) Created page with "Create on this page: The Monty Hall problem - how opening another door does not change the overall risk situation but just changes the probability of one door to one or zero. How you could get the same effect by having two doors and revealing one. Why human cognitive biases make us naturally bad at bayesian reasoning: anchoring effect, confirmation bias and so on . Bayesian reasoning as a way of explaining super forecasting (in terms of updating prior probabilities) T..." Tags: Mobile edit Mobile web edit Advanced mobile edit |
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Why human cognitive biases make us naturally bad at bayesian reasoning: anchoring effect, confirmation bias and so on . | Why human cognitive biases make us naturally bad at bayesian reasoning: anchoring effect, confirmation bias and so on . | ||
Bayesian reasoning as a way of explaining super forecasting (in terms of updating prior probabilities) | Bayesian reasoning as a way of explaining super forecasting (in terms of updating prior probabilities) | ||
The limits of Bayesian reasoning | The limits of Bayesian reasoning. | ||
SBF on shakespeare | |||
Bayesian reasoning applied to the Bayesian. | Bayesian reasoning applied to the Bayesian. | ||
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Revision as of 07:49, 8 September 2024
Create on this page:
The Monty Hall problem - how opening another door does not change the overall risk situation but just changes the probability of one door to one or zero. How you could get the same effect by having two doors and revealing one. Why human cognitive biases make us naturally bad at bayesian reasoning: anchoring effect, confirmation bias and so on . Bayesian reasoning as a way of explaining super forecasting (in terms of updating prior probabilities) The limits of Bayesian reasoning. SBF on shakespeare Bayesian reasoning applied to the Bayesian.