We will all have more leisure time in the future: Difference between revisions

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{{a|maxim|
{{a|maxim|
[[File:Dinocheckers.jpg|450px|thumb|center|Our future. Pity the poor robo-slave (out of picture): having to watch the idiot [[meatware]] mangle a basic Spassky/Fischer opening must be some kind of ''torture''.]]  
[[File:Dinocheckers.jpg|450px|thumb|center|Our future. Pity the poor [[robo-slave]] (out of picture): having to watch the idiot [[meatware]] mangle a basic Spassky/Fischer opening must be some kind of ''torture''.]]  
}}The idea, propagated by [[thought leader]]s like {{author|Ray Kurzweil}}<ref>{{br|The Singularity is Near}}</ref> and more recently erstwhile DB boss John Cryan<ref>[[Rumours of our demise are greatly exaggerated - technology article|Rumours of our demise are greatly exaggerated]].</ref> and heir to the Susskind pofessional clairvoyance dynasty {{author|Daniel Susskind}}<ref>{{br|A World Without Work: Technology, Automation, and How We Should Respond}}. See also {{author|David Goodhart}}’s more thoughtful (but still, on this point, misguided) {{br|Head Hand Heart}}.</ref> that [[Chatbot|robots]] and [[artificial intelligence]] will, shortly, entirely supplant the need for human labour.  
}}The idea, propagated by [[thought leader]]s like {{author|Ray Kurzweil}}<ref>{{br|The Singularity is Near}}</ref> and more recently erstwhile DB boss John Cryan<ref>[[Rumours of our demise are greatly exaggerated - technology article|Rumours of our demise are greatly exaggerated]].</ref> and heir to the Susskind pofessional clairvoyance dynasty {{author|Daniel Susskind}}<ref>{{br|A World Without Work: Technology, Automation, and How We Should Respond}}. See also {{author|David Goodhart}}’s more thoughtful (but still, on this point, misguided) {{br|Head Hand Heart}}.</ref> that [[Chatbot|robots]] and [[artificial intelligence]] will, shortly, entirely supplant the need for human labour.  


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*that, in other words, an entire economy not only can be fully determined —  ''solved'' — but has been: that our current polity is in a fully [[Taxonomy|taxonomised]], [[Taylorism|Taylorised]] end-of-history state in which no new activities or work categories are possible, and all that do currently exist can be more effectively carried out by machine — ''they have abolished the patent office'';
*that, in other words, an entire economy not only can be fully determined —  ''solved'' — but has been: that our current polity is in a fully [[Taxonomy|taxonomised]], [[Taylorism|Taylorised]] end-of-history state in which no new activities or work categories are possible, and all that do currently exist can be more effectively carried out by machine — ''they have abolished the patent office'';


But the theory ''isn’t'' right. ''These assumptions are transparently absurd''. They get the [[Yngwie Malmsteen paradox]] 180° back to front. the more information processing power we have, the more complicated our infoirmation structures will be. This is because we are lazy, backward looking creatures. Increasing automation increases [[complexity]], multiplies the interconnectivity between components of our distributed systems, accelerates the speed at which data circulates, and [[Tight coupling|tightens the couplings]] between components. The [[JC]] has been harping on about systems theory and complexity in recent times, but it is clear that [[artificial intelligence]] can’t solve complex problems. They can only make them worse.
But the theory ''isn’t'' right. ''These assumptions are transparently absurd''. They get the [[Yngwie Malmsteen paradox]] 180° back to front. the more information processing power we have, the more complicated our information structures will be. This is because we are lazy, backward-looking creatures. Increasing automation increases [[complexity]], multiplies the interconnectivity between components of our distributed systems, accelerates the speed at which data circulates, and [[Tight coupling|tightens the couplings]] between components. The [[JC]] has been harping on about systems theory and complexity in recent times, but it is clear that [[artificial intelligence]] can’t solve complex problems. They can only make them worse.


In an {{nutshell}}: put away the checkerboard and stick the ''limoncello'' back in the cupboard. There’s work to do.
In an {{nutshell}}: put away the checkerboard and stick the ''limoncello'' back in the cupboard. There’s work to do.
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