Lindy effect: Difference between revisions
Jump to navigation
Jump to search
Amwelladmin (talk | contribs) (Created page with "{{a|big ideas|}}{{quote|“{{Old systems break quote}}” :—{{author|Stewart Brand}}, {{br|The Maintenance Race}}}} The Lindy effect proposes that the life expectancy of an...") |
Amwelladmin (talk | contribs) No edit summary |
||
| Line 1: | Line 1: | ||
{{a| | {{a|bi|}}{{quote|“{{Old systems break quote}}” | ||
:—{{author|Stewart Brand}}, {{br|The Maintenance Race}}}} | :—{{author|Stewart Brand}}, {{br|The Maintenance Race}}}} | ||
The Lindy effect proposes that the life expectancy of an idea, is proportional to its current age. The longer an idea has survived — the more stress and attack it has survived — the longer it is likely to continue to last. If exposure to shocks and stresses is essentially randomised, the longer an idea has been out there in the world, vulnerable to the sorts of things that could kill it, and it has ''not'' been killed off by them then the less likely those things become — or the more likely the thing is to be [[antifragile]] to the sorts of shocks that do occur. Ideas might — and, actually, almost always do — mutate to reflect their maximal utility in a given environment. | The Lindy effect proposes that the life expectancy of an idea, is proportional to its current age. The longer an idea has survived — the more stress and attack it has survived — the longer it is likely to continue to last. If exposure to shocks and stresses is essentially randomised, the longer an idea has been out there in the world, vulnerable to the sorts of things that could kill it, and it has ''not'' been killed off by them then the less likely those things become — or the more likely the thing is to be [[antifragile]] to the sorts of shocks that do occur. Ideas might — and, actually, almost always do — mutate to reflect their maximal utility in a given environment. | ||