Behavioural economics: Difference between revisions

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:*Derivatives
:*Derivatives
*Integrity of process is paramount: If the process is perfect, there is no risk
*Integrity of process is paramount: If the process is perfect, there is no risk
*Risk is bad
*We have banished risk; and that [[Risk - Risk Article|risk]] is bad
:*Risk is ''inevitable''
:*Risk is ''inevitable''
:*Risk is a condition precedent to return. Understand and manage risks; don’t try to banish them.
:*Risk is desirable: it is a [[condition precedent]] to ''return''.  
*[[This time it is different]]
:*Understand and manage risks; don’t try to banish them.
*[[We have banished risk]]
*This time it is different
 


===Machines versus humans===
===Machines versus humans===

Revision as of 19:18, 5 August 2019

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Lean manufacture

Great dogmas

  • Data will make us redundant
  • Signal to noise ratio?
  • Derivatives
  • Integrity of process is paramount: If the process is perfect, there is no risk
  • We have banished risk; and that risk is bad
  • Risk is inevitable
  • Risk is desirable: it is a condition precedent to return.
  • Understand and manage risks; don’t try to banish them.
  • This time it is different


Machines versus humans

  • Have we got the division of labour right?
  • Machine - Digital
  • Replicable, cheap, free, value  zero.
  • Ultimate fidelity
  • Fast
  • Algorithmic: will work. Needs no supervision
  • Rules
  • Deterministic
  • Literal
  • Data-dependent
  • Human
  • Analog
  • Error-prone
  • Heuristic: might work: Needs supervision
  • Slow
  • Ambiguous
  • Metaphorical
  • Evaluation
  • Triage versus redundancy
  • You can strip a deterministic process out of a messy human one
  • You can't force the genuinely intractable analog to the digital