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24 June 2024
| 17:57 | Template:M intro philosophy doubt diffhist −73 Amwelladmin talk contribs | ||||
| N 12:49 | Texas sharpshooter diffhist +943 Amwelladmin talk contribs (Created page with "{{a|design|}}The famous fallacy of probabilistic reasoning. If you happen upon an event which, in the abstract is highly improbable at random, there is a tendency to impute foul play. But at the point where the event has already happened it is not a random event but ''history''. Treating it as a contingency can be misleading. Predicting that a Mr Bentos of Cheltenham will win next week’s lottery is hard. Predicting that he won ''last'' week’s is a cinch. This can...") | ||||
| 12:27 | Lucy Letby diffhist +24 Amwelladmin talk contribs | ||||