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• 12:49, 24 June 2024 Amwelladmin talk contribs created page Texas sharpshooter (Created page with "{{a|design|}}The famous fallacy of probabilistic reasoning. If you happen upon an event which, in the abstract is highly improbable at random, there is a tendency to impute foul play. But at the point where the event has already happened it is not a random event but ''history''. Treating it as a contingency can be misleading. Predicting that a Mr Bentos of Cheltenham will win next week’s lottery is hard. Predicting that he won ''last'' week’s is a cinch. This can...") Tags: Mobile edit Mobile web edit Advanced mobile edit