Certainty: Difference between revisions

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{{a|psychology|
{{a|psychology|
[[File:Certainty.jpg|450px|thumb|center|I don’t want knowledge. I want [[certainty]].]]
{{Image|preggie test|jpg|Because even stupid people need pregnancy detector kits. They need them ''more''. }}
}}{{quote|If you are wholly predictable, people learn to hack you.
}}{{quote|If you are wholly predictable, people learn to hack you.
:—{{author|Rory Sutherland}}<ref>{{br|Alchemy: The Surprising Power of Ideas that Don’t Make Sense}}</ref>}}
:—{{author|Rory Sutherland}}<ref>{{br|Alchemy: The Surprising Power of Ideas that Don’t Make Sense}}</ref>}}
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{{quote|If there was certainty, ninety-five percent of you wouldn’t ''have'' any goddamn work.
{{quote|If there was certainty, ninety-five percent of you wouldn’t ''have'' any goddamn work.
:—Also the Jolly Contrarian}}
:—Also the Jolly Contrarian}}
Be careful what you wish for. A world of certainty is a world of no [[doubt]], no mystery, no ''je ne sais pas''; no contingency, no [[disclaimer]]s that [[past performance is no indicator of future results]], not because suddenly the past ''is'' an indicator: everything that is to come can be extrapolated from what has already been. Our accursed [[induction|inductive mode of reasoning]] is obsolete. We can [[deduction|''de''duce the future]] from the data we have to hand, from first principles, the same way that one can deduce rice pudding and income tax from “[[cogito, ergo sum]]”.<ref>{{hhgg}}, [[as any fule kno]].</ref>
Be careful what you wish for. A world of certainty is a world of no [[doubt]], no mystery, no ''je ne sais pas''; no contingency, no [[disclaimer]]s that [[past performance is no indicator of future results]], not because suddenly the past ''is'' an indicator: everything that is to come can be extrapolated from what has already been. Our accursed [[induction|inductive mode of reasoning]] is obsolete. We can [[deduction|''de''duce the future]] from the data we have to hand, from first principles, the same way that one can deduce [[rice pudding and income tax]] from “[[cogito, ergo sum]]”.<ref>{{hhgg}}, [[as any fule kno]].</ref>


A certain universe, then, is a ''determined'' universe, where each stem in the great fractal bloom of evolution; every infinitesimal causal chain twisting madly through evolutionary design space, is fully taxonomised, catalogued, worked out and mapped. We can plot where when and how every [[Crisp-packet blowing across St Mark’s square|crisp packet will kick and tumble across St Mark’s square]], as all those that didn’t, but might have tumbled across that palazzo, had the circumstances been different, even through, by immovable presumption of your [[philosophy]], they cannot have been.
A certain universe, then, is a ''determined'' universe, where each stem in the great fractal bloom of evolution; every infinitesimal causal chain twisting madly through evolutionary design space, is fully taxonomised, catalogued, worked out and mapped. We can plot where when and how every [[Crisp-packet blowing across St Mark’s square|crisp packet will kick and tumble across St Mark’s square]], as all those that didn’t, but might have tumbled across that palazzo, had the circumstances been different, even through, by immovable presumption of your [[philosophy]], they cannot have been.

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