Grand unifying theory

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  • Commercial imperative: to have clients coming back. Above all else.
  • Indications of commitment:
  • expense of communication: the thick card, embossed envelope - Rory Sutherland
  • intellectual, social commitment to clients - Robert Cialdini
  • Standardisation, commoditisation:
  • guarantees margins tend to zero (you have solved the risk and therefore depleted the premium)
  • Of course because of non-linear effects, you hjavent solved the risk; it is just that the market prices itself as if it has, because everyone labouring under the same common delusion of modernism that “we have comprehensively syndicated risk/banished boom and bust/reached the sunlit uplands”
  • Indicates absence of commitment
  • Allows a lack of client commitment: products and offerings are fungible
  • The risk/reward of greater effort to attract customers isn’t there. Hence the headlong rush to lean production
  • Targets your offering at the mean - the commitment is to be found at the Edges - Rory Sutherland
  • The besoke, thje tail events, the risk scenarios, off-piste; here be dragons:
  • This is where the best opportunities are. This is where innovation will come from. This is where developments will emerge. Here the stakes are higher.
  • You can’t manage it by algorithm. You need experience; you need diversity; you need expertise. You need people comfortable with doubt and without certainty. Standard tropes and management bullshit will get found out.
  • Here redundancy is an advantage and an imperative, not a competitive disadvantage.