|The JC pontificates about technology |
An occasional series.
Smart contracts cleave to Lawrence Lessig’s coinage in his terrific Code: Version 2.0: “Code is Law” — you code legal rights into the operating parameters between the parties: “enforcement” of the contract is a matter of electronic affordance. If delivery parameters are X, Y, and Z, then that is all you can do, the machine polices that in practice by not letting through anything else. The thus your legal terms are matters of fact, rather than abstract metaphysical considerations agreed amongst legal eagles, committed to paper at inception and then put away, filed and forgotten, never to be looked at again, until it is too late. For legal terms that float free, high above messy actual interactions with your counterparty, are a fat lot of good: wouldn’t it be great to code them directly into your API, so to speak, so everything was deterministic, automatic and certain?
But we’ve had smart contracts for a while. Whenever counterparties interact electronically, as they do when posting collateral under a CSA, for example: the algorithms, thresholds and validation sub-routines embedded in the technological infrastructure, rather than abstract ones set out on paper, govern what, when and how much collateral the parties exchange. Everything happens fast, deus ex machina, and there is no articled clerk with a quill monitoring the data flows and cross-checking each transfer against the agreed eligibility criteria written in the CSA. All of that coded into the machine.
So all a smart contract amounts to is the insight that that operational handshake, rather than the bit of paper you first wrote it down on, is what matters. It would be no big leap to ditch the abstract textual articulation of these operating parameters in separate “legal terms” altogether.
But, blockchain, you know?
And consider this: if, in that CSA, due to a mutual mis-key when you set up the operating parameters in 1998, you allowed a wider range of collateral through than the contract formally mandated, and no-one noticed until your counterparty blew up in 2008 and the ropey collateral it had been posting for a decade suddenly tanked, what good is your sainted piece of paper then? Not much, in this commentator’s humble opinion.
So, where a contract is of a highly operational nature — much of the machinery of finance is — smart contracts aren’t so much a revolutionary idea as an obvious one. We already have them.
But while 80% of your contract is electronic and suitably “smart” already, the other 20% — all the things that matter only when things turn growlish — isn’t. The close out rights, termination triggers and events of default: matters that can hardly be coded into anything, much less ascertained by electronic transmission between the parties. They require judgment, experience and evaluation, both of their existence (is that adverse change really “material”? Hey, legal eagles! What does “material” mean?) and in terms of your reaction to them: Ok, a NAV trigger has been hit. But is this the real thing? Or is this just a drill? Do we want to close out? How is our overall position? What do we think of the counterparty’s forward prospects? What are the pros and cons? No smart contract will be able to measure these things, much less make an executory decision about them.
Looks like we need those messy humans after all.