Mediocre you: Difference between revisions

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(Created page with "=== Statistically, it won’t be you. === The bigger the organisation, the less likely it is to be you. Your football team: one in 11 chance. Your work: one in 5,000. Presiden...")
 
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*We are brilliant at fitting known facts to our narratives - confirmation bias.
*We are brilliant at fitting known facts to our narratives - confirmation bias.
*Curiously, our social sciences are brilliant at explaining how things happened, but utterly hopeless at predicting them in advance.  
*Curiously, our social sciences are brilliant at explaining how things happened, but utterly hopeless at predicting them in advance.  
=== Any discipline worth getting to the top of has a rigid social hierarchy. Don’t overestimate it.===
=== Any discipline worth getting to the top of has a rigid social hierarchy. Don’t underestimate it.===
One of the main aims of any social hierarchy is making sure outsiders can only enter from the bottom. There are perfectly good reasons for this, but they have by products:
One of the main aims of any social hierarchy is making sure outsiders can only enter from the bottom. There are perfectly good reasons for this, but they have by products:

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