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::It’s not so bad on the ground. And what good are you to anyone stuck in the top of a tree? | ::It’s not so bad on the ground. And what good are you to anyone stuck in the top of a tree? | ||
=== Statistically, it won’t be you. === | === ''Statistically'', it won’t be you. === | ||
The bigger the organisation, the less likely it is to be you. Your football team: one in 11 chance. Your work: one in 5,000. President of the USA: 9 in 300,000,000 <ref>working on the assumption there will be 9 presidents in your adult lifetime.</ref> | The bigger the organisation, the less likely it is to be you. Your football team: one in 11 chance. Your work: one in 5,000. President of the USA: 9 in 300,000,000 <ref>working on the assumption there will be 9 presidents in your adult lifetime.</ref> And that’s before you take any account of the practical realities of the specific situation. | ||
And that’s before you take any account of the practical realities of the specific situation. | *The best man doesn’t always win. | ||
*Even if you are unusually talented, you’re | |||
*''Seven Habits of Highly Effective People'' sold 25,000,000 copies. So even if it were true that these were the difference between success and failure, bad news: your competition just got a whole lot stiffer. | *''Seven Habits of Highly Effective People'' sold 25,000,000 copies. So even if it were true that these were the difference between success and failure, bad news: your competition just got a whole lot stiffer. | ||
*The world wide web made your competition a whole lot stiffer yet. You’re not just competing with the village any more. You’re competing with 7 billion. | |||
===''Factually'', it won’t be you=== | |||
You’re reading self-help books looking for a summary; a short-cut; some anecdotes of famous men — and women — which, it is claimed, will distil the essence of that great person’s success. These people got their success without the benefit of such short-cuts. | |||
*If you stack all the | |||
=== Ten thousand hours? It’s nonsense. === | === Ten thousand hours? It’s nonsense. === | ||
*Ten thousand hours won’t guarantee you world leadership. You might not even be very good. | *Ten thousand hours won’t guarantee you world leadership. You might not even be very good. |