We will all have more leisure time in the future: Difference between revisions

Jump to navigation Jump to search
no edit summary
No edit summary
No edit summary
Line 1: Line 1:
{{a|maxim|
{{a|maxim|
[[File:Dinocheckers.jpg|450px|thumb|center|Our future. Pity the poor robot serving the grappa and periodically wipe our arses: having to watch the idiot [[meatware]] mangle a basic Spassky/Fischer opening will be some kind of ''torture''.]]  
[[File:Dinocheckers.jpg|450px|thumb|center|Our future. Pity the poor robot serving the grappa and periodically wipe our arses: having to watch the idiot [[meatware]] mangle a basic Spassky/Fischer opening will be some kind of ''torture''.]]  
}}The idea, propagated by [[thought leader]]s like {{author|Ray Kurzweil}}<ref>{{br|The Singularity is Near}}</ref> and latterly {{author|Daniel Susskind}}<ref>{{br|A World Without Work: Technology, Automation, and How We Should Respond}}. See also {{author|David Goodhart}}’s more thoughtful (but still, on this point, misguided) {{br|Head Hand Heart}}.</ref> that [[Chatbot|robots]] and [[artificial intelligence]] will entirely supplant the need for human labour, and in the near term. Seeing as the [[meatware]] will no longer be needed to operate [[Jacquard loom]]s, wipe bottoms, write wishfully dystopian technological tracts or formulate business change programmes, we will loaf around instead playing [[chess]] and drinking grappa in the Peloponnese, like modern-day Greek pensioners. It sounds great, doesn’t it! But problem: there’s even a machine to play chess for you.
}}The idea, propagated by [[thought leader]]s like {{author|Ray Kurzweil}}<ref>{{br|The Singularity is Near}}</ref> and latterly {{author|Daniel Susskind}}<ref>{{br|A World Without Work: Technology, Automation, and How We Should Respond}}. See also {{author|David Goodhart}}’s more thoughtful (but still, on this point, misguided) {{br|Head Hand Heart}}.</ref> that [[Chatbot|robots]] and [[artificial intelligence]] will entirely supplant the need for human labour, and in the near term.  


But if something about this idea nudges your implausibility hooter, you would not be alone. There’s at least two of us. For one thing our recent history, which from our [[perspective chauvinism|unimpeachable present vantage point]] resembles some [[Cambrian explosion]] of novel technologies, has so far had quite the opposite effect. So, for that matter, has ancient history: the unerring consquence of technological revolution has been ''more'' work.
Seeing as the [[meatware]] will no longer be needed to operate [[Jacquard loom]]s, wipe bottoms, write wishfully dystopian technological tracts or formulate business change programmes, we will loaf around instead playing [[chess]] and drinking grappa in the Peloponnese, like modern-day Greek pensioners. It sounds great, doesn’t it!


But [[this time is different]].
Let’s not dwell on the thought that the robo-slave engaged to serve the grappa and wipe our arses could wipe the floor with us at chess, too, if it really wanted to.
 
Now if something about this idea nudges your implausibility hooter, you would not be alone: there are at least two of us.
 
For one thing, our recent experience in which, from our [[perspective chauvinism|present vantage point]], there has been some kind of technological [[Cambrian explosion]],  so far has had quite the opposite effect. So, for that matter, has ancient history: the unerring consquence of technological revolution has been ''more'' work.
 
But, but, but: ''[[this time is different]]''.


The theory of [[technological unemployment]] assumes:
The theory of [[technological unemployment]] assumes:
Line 17: Line 23:
*[[Rubbish maxims]]
*[[Rubbish maxims]]
*[[Technological unemployment]]
*[[Technological unemployment]]
*[[This time is different]]
*[[Perspective chauvinism]]


{{ref}}
{{ref}}

Navigation menu