Legal services delivery: Difference between revisions

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:''“More recently the buzz and effort has shifted from innovation in legal expertise (inventing [[derivatives]], [[CDO]]s and so on) to how the services that embed that expertise are delivered.”''
:''“More recently the buzz and effort has shifted from innovation in legal expertise (inventing [[derivatives]], [[CDO]]s and so on) to how the services that embed that expertise are delivered.”''


The learned authors seem to recognise that legal work involving sophisticated real-time reaction to emerging legal quandaries, is (or, in the good old days, ''was'') less ''mune'' to the “march of the [[chatbot]]s” — [[A&O]] raked a fair few millions cranking out [[CDO]]s, after all — but their insight, wholly unrecognisable though it may be, to those us at the coalface, is that ''it’s all changed now''. [[This time is different]].  
This seems to recognise that legal work involving sophisticated real-time reaction to emerging legal quandaries, is (or, at any reate, ''was'') less ''mune'' to the “delivery by [[chatbot]]— [[A&O]] raked a fair few millions cranking out [[CDO]]s, after all — but nonetheless paints a picture, unrecognisable though it may be to those at the coalface, that ''it’s all changed now''.  


It’s like we’ve somehow solved the game; that there are no mysteries left: one can only now create “legal worth” by supersizing, adding fries, or getting the delivery guy to go faster for less money. ''It’s not about the [[pizza]]''.
''[[This time is different]].''  If I had a penny for every time I had heard that.
 
Somehow, we’ve solved [[Go|the game]]; there are no mysteries left: one can only now create “legal worth” by supersizing, adding fries, or getting the delivery guy to go faster for less money. ''It’s not about the [[pizza]]''.


===It ''is'' about the [[pizza]].===
===It ''is'' about the [[pizza]].===
But here is the thing. It ''is'' about the [[pizza]].
But it ''is'' about the [[pizza]]. Even now.
 
The marginal return on any activity is not a function of how ''clever'' it is, but how ''difficult''. It is ''not'' difficult to do clever things with a computer: all you need is a computer, and the Java coder from Bucharest you found on ''UpWork''. But if ''you'' can do it, so can ''anyone else'' who gets hold of a computer and an account on ''UpWork''. Computers are cheap. Romanian Java coders are cheap.  


The marginal return on any activity is not a function of how intrinsically ''clever'', but on how ''difficult'' it is. It is ''not'' difficult to do clever things with a computer: all you need is a computer — and maybe a Java coder from Bucharest you found on ''UpWork''. But if you can do it, so can anyone ''else'' if they get themselves a computer and an account on ''UpWork''. Computers are cheap. Romanian Java coders are cheap. Seeing as that “anyone else” will be a competitor of yours, once you have figured out how to make it with a computer, and paid your Java guy, the marginal value of your [[pizza]] will equal its marginal cost of production — that is to say, ''nil''. This will happen not just gradually, over a period of time, but ''immediately''. Ask Kodak.<ref>Kodak ''invented'' the digital camera. It still killed them.</ref> Ask people who used to make postcards and aerogrammes.
Seeing as that “anyone else” will be your competitor, once you have figured out how to make ''your'' [[pizza]] with a computer, and paid your Java guy, its marginal ''value'' will equal its marginal ''cost of production'' — that is to say, ''nil''. This will happen not just gradually, over a period, but ''at once''. Ask Kodak.<ref>Kodak ''invented'' the digital camera. It still killed them.</ref> Ask people who used to make postcards and aerogrammes.


If you think there is a money to be made delivering a valueless product [[cheapest to deliver|more cheaply than any other bugger]], you will find yourself in a very fast race to the bottom of a very large tank, with a very hard, very flat, very concrete floor.
If you think there is a money to be made delivering a valueless product [[cheapest to deliver|more cheaply than any other bugger]], you will find yourself galloping to the bottom of a very large, very empty, pit.


The point about real legal work is that you ''can’t'' get a computer to do it. If you could, ''it wouldn’t be legal work''.<ref>I could pause here to pick a fight with the Susskind clan, but it would spoil the flow. But the essence of the argument is this: what counts as legal work is inherently dynamic. It changes through time. It is a function of non-linear interactions in complex systems. What counts as legal work is not just hard to predict ahead of time: it is ''impossible''.</ref>  Legal work is — always has been — about edge cases; conundrums; things no-one expected. Bespoke situations spinning out of non-contiguities and interactions between moving parts that no-one expected to move. To be sure, part of a lawyer’s job should be to identify those parts of the ecosystem than ''can'' be tamed, and to prepare the land for farming: to commoditise new products, productionise them, and hand them off to operations teams who ''can'' make widgets out of them — but ''lawyers don’t make widgets''. Lawyers are ''bushwhackers''. Lawyers are ''pioneers''.
The point about real legal work is that you ''can’t'' get a computer to do it. If you could, ''it wouldn’t be legal work''.<ref>I could pause here to pick a fight with the Susskind clan, but it would spoil the flow. But the essence of the argument is this: what counts as “legal work” is inherently dynamic. It changes through time. It manages non-linear interactions in complex systems. What counts as “legal work” is not just ''hard'' to predict ahead of time: it is ''impossible''.</ref>  Legal work is — always has been — about edge cases; conundrums; things; bespoke situations spinning out of non-contiguities and unfortunate reactions between moving parts that no-one expected to move. To be sure, part of a lawyer’s job should be to identify those parts of the ecosystem than ''can'' be fixed, and to prepare the land for tilling: to commoditise new products, productionise them, and hand them off to operations teams who ''can'' make widgets out of them — but ''lawyers don’t make widgets''. Lawyers are ''bushwhackers''. Lawyers are ''pioneers''.


The folks in [[reg tech]] have this exact problem, too: their business model doesn’t work. You can’t continue to extract an annuity out of a quick bit of coding you bought from a guy you found on UpWork. No-one will pay for it. So you have no option but to try to extract ''[[rent]]''. But, ''problem'': the reason anyone wants [[reg tech]] is to intermediate an ''existing'' [[rent-seeker]]. It’s a bum model. Hence: [[Why is reg tech so disappointing?|reg tech remains disappointing]].
The folks in [[reg tech]] have this exact problem, too: their business model doesn’t work. You can’t continue to extract an annuity out of a quick bit of coding you bought from a guy you found on UpWork. No-one will pay for it. So you have no option but to try to extract ''[[rent]]''. But, ''problem'': the reason anyone wants [[reg tech]] is to intermediate an ''existing'' [[rent-seeker]]. It’s a bum model. Hence: [[Why is reg tech so disappointing?|reg tech remains disappointing]].

Revision as of 18:00, 19 November 2020

“Your CDO squared, sir. Would you like a monoline wrap with that?”


In which the curmudgeonly old sod puts the world to rights.
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Of a legal service, to deliver it, to a buyer, who will consume it, like a pizza.

A view of the world that sees a lawyer as a dolled-up courier gigging for Deliveroo, and the difficult part of the job being the logistics of getting the pizza — sorry, I mean “complex legal work product” — into the consumer’s gob.

In what follows, where I write “pizza” you could read “complex legal work product”, but for some reason the argument makes so much more sense when you put “pizza”.

It’s not about the pizza.

Here’s a quote from those luminaries of the legal future, Allen & Overy:[1]

“More recently the buzz and effort has shifted from innovation in legal expertise (inventing derivatives, CDOs and so on) to how the services that embed that expertise are delivered.”

This seems to recognise that legal work involving sophisticated real-time reaction to emerging legal quandaries, is (or, at any reate, was) less mune to the “delivery by chatbot” — A&O raked a fair few millions cranking out CDOs, after all — but nonetheless paints a picture, unrecognisable though it may be to those at the coalface, that it’s all changed now.

This time is different. If I had a penny for every time I had heard that.

Somehow, we’ve solved the game; there are no mysteries left: one can only now create “legal worth” by supersizing, adding fries, or getting the delivery guy to go faster for less money. It’s not about the pizza.

It is about the pizza.

But it is about the pizza. Even now.

The marginal return on any activity is not a function of how clever it is, but how difficult. It is not difficult to do clever things with a computer: all you need is a computer, and the Java coder from Bucharest you found on UpWork. But if you can do it, so can anyone else who gets hold of a computer and an account on UpWork. Computers are cheap. Romanian Java coders are cheap.

Seeing as that “anyone else” will be your competitor, once you have figured out how to make your pizza with a computer, and paid your Java guy, its marginal value will equal its marginal cost of production — that is to say, nil. This will happen not just gradually, over a period, but at once. Ask Kodak.[2] Ask people who used to make postcards and aerogrammes.

If you think there is a money to be made delivering a valueless product more cheaply than any other bugger, you will find yourself galloping to the bottom of a very large, very empty, pit.

The point about real legal work is that you can’t get a computer to do it. If you could, it wouldn’t be legal work.[3] Legal work is — always has been — about edge cases; conundrums; things; bespoke situations spinning out of non-contiguities and unfortunate reactions between moving parts that no-one expected to move. To be sure, part of a lawyer’s job should be to identify those parts of the ecosystem than can be fixed, and to prepare the land for tilling: to commoditise new products, productionise them, and hand them off to operations teams who can make widgets out of them — but lawyers don’t make widgets. Lawyers are bushwhackers. Lawyers are pioneers.

The folks in reg tech have this exact problem, too: their business model doesn’t work. You can’t continue to extract an annuity out of a quick bit of coding you bought from a guy you found on UpWork. No-one will pay for it. So you have no option but to try to extract rent. But, problem: the reason anyone wants reg tech is to intermediate an existing rent-seeker. It’s a bum model. Hence: reg tech remains disappointing.

But the shifting buzz, man

The reason the “buzz” has “shifted to delivery” is that the people who buzz — management consultants — have nothing to say about the pizza. The content of legal services is entirely opaque to them. They have not the first clue about it. The actual law is — by deliberate, cynical design of generations of nest-feathering lawyers — baffling, long-winded and obtuse. It is quite incomprehensible to the management layer. Management must take the lawyers at their word, and the pizza as it comes: whole, ineffable, immutable: an unsolvable brute fact of the universe. A manager cannot say “cross default is stupid” (though it is). She cannot say “you do not need that absurd indemnity; you would never use it, and a court would never enforce it,” however much these things may be true.

A manager knows that only one with magic powers can say those things. She can only focus on the things she can understand: how much it costs to hire such a person. But there is a dark inversion to her ignorance. For such is the inscrutability of the legal craft — so impenetrable is this world — that all she can say is one has this magic, or one has not. Those who have it are interchangeable; substitutable; switchable; fungible.

The irony of the ineffable

Thus our manager arrives at the notion of delivery. “I must have this ineffable magic,” she realises, “but it could be delivered from London, or Belfast, or Gdansk, a someone rifling through a playbook on his lap from a service centre on the outskirts of Hanoi.”

She cannot rationalise legal product, nor simplify it, nor cauterise it and expunge the tedium with which all legal product overflows — but she can parcel it up and outsource it. This is the tragic irony of the ineffability of the law.

But unitising legal product does one of two things: either it really is commoditised, in which case it is a commercial product — a widget; see above — with some legally-relevant content embedded in it, but in respect of which all mysteries have been solved: the value in that product is not in its nuanced legal advice, but it has some other value (else, why “deliver” it at all?) or it really isn’t; there really is some residual legal doubt, uncertainty or risk, in which case handing it off to the proverbial School-leaver from Bucharest really isn’t a great idea.

The definition of a legal problem is that it can’t be productionised.

See also

References

  1. The future of the in-house legal function: an Allen & Overy perspective on the opportunities and challenges that lie ahead. (2019)
  2. Kodak invented the digital camera. It still killed them.
  3. I could pause here to pick a fight with the Susskind clan, but it would spoil the flow. But the essence of the argument is this: what counts as “legal work” is inherently dynamic. It changes through time. It manages non-linear interactions in complex systems. What counts as “legal work” is not just hard to predict ahead of time: it is impossible.