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Once upon a time, before the internet was invented, the [[JC]] was a clerk in a commercial litigation firm in the antipodes. One of the most tedious jobs was preparing lists of documents for discovery — disclosure to the opposing side — in forthcoming litigation. There could be ''hundreds'' of relevant documents. Even ''thousands''.<ref>In a huge, high-profile case of the sort the [[JC]] never saw, conceivably hundreds of thousands.</ref> The poor clerks had to identify each, name it, date it, record by whom it was sent and to whom, and designate its [[privilege]].
Once upon a time, before the internet was invented, the [[JC]] was a clerk in a commercial litigation firm in the antipodes. One of the most tedious jobs was preparing lists of documents for discovery — disclosure to the opposing side — in forthcoming litigation. There could be ''hundreds'' of relevant documents. Even ''thousands''.<ref>In a huge, high-profile case of the sort the [[JC]] never saw, conceivably hundreds of thousands.</ref> The poor clerks had to identify each, name it, date it, record by whom it was sent and to whom, and designate its [[privilege]].


Now this was before [[email]], instant message — [[Facsimile|fax machines]] were ravishingly ''à la mode''. This being the case there weren’t that many documents, and there were certainly no automated means of cataloguing them.  
Now this being before [[email]] — the [[Facsimile|fax machines]] was ''à la mode'' there weren’t that many documents, nor any automated means of cataloguing them.  


How times have changed. The information revolution has created not just a new class of electronic documents with new classes of [[metadata]] but a whole new volume of information: the ease of creating, changing, duplicating and circulating means that the number of potentially relevant documents will be in the millions, not the thousands.
How times have changed. The information revolution has created not just a new class of electronic documents with new classes of [[metadata]] but a whole new ''volume'' of information: the ease of creating, changing, duplicating and circulating means that the number of potentially relevant documents is as likely to be be in the millions as the thousands.


It is no longer practically feasible to prepare lists of documents discovery manually. Now automated tools using [[neural network]]s, [[machine learning]] and other kinds of [[AI]] have emerged to handle discovery analytics.
Automated tools, using [[neural network]]s, [[machine learning]] and other kinds of [[AI]] have emerged to handle discovery analytics.
===[[Parkinson’s law]] for the digital age?===
===[[Parkinson’s law]] for the digital age?===
''What follows is a needlessly formal argument for the proposition the cost parties will incur to resolve a dispute is a function of the amount at stake and the commercial merit of the dispute and will not be affected by the tools available to conduct the litigation. In other words, efficiencies afforded by legaltech accrue entirely to practitioners and not at all to clients.''
''What follows is a needlessly formal argument for the proposition “the cost a person will incur to resolve a dispute is a function of the amount at stake and the merit of her claim and not the tools available to conduct the litigation”. In other words, benefits of [[legaltech]] accrue to practitioners and not customers.''


Those in the business of selling e-discovery platforms doubtless are thrilled at this technical revolution. Perhaps, too, court lawyers — though there is an element of an arms race about it. But the question we pose is a different one: how has technology in general, and e-discovery in particular, contributed to ''legal outcomes for clients''?  
[[Legaltechbros|Those selling e-discovery platforms]] doubtless are thrilled at this technical revolution. Perhaps, too, court lawyers — though there is an element of an arms race about it. But the question we pose is a different one: how has legaltech in general, and e-discovery in particular, contributed to ''legal outcomes for clients''?  


In one sense, e-discovery exists to solve a problem that was only created by technology in the first place. As we have remarked [[Innovation paradox|elsewhere]], before the advent of [[email]] — before lawyers had  screens on desktops and were dependent on paying someone to put their words onto paper the very act of generating a document, let alone sending one, was orders of magnitude more difficult and expensive. This provided strong incentive not to create ''unnecessary'' documents and to make sure the documents one did create were ''short and to the point''. These incentives no longer remain. The volume of information that now passes is monstrous; its ''quality'' is dismal. To the extent it is the only means of handling this volume, this is not e-discovery ''solving'' a problem. This is technology ''creating'' one.
E-discovery exists to solve a problem that was only created by technology in the first place. As we have remarked [[Innovation paradox|elsewhere]], before the advent of [[email]] — before lawyers had  screens on desktops and were dependent on paying someone to put their words onto paper, the very act of generating a document, let alone sending one, was orders of magnitude more difficult and expensive. This provided strong incentives not to create ''unnecessary'' documents and to make sure the documents one did create were ''short and to the point''.  
 
These incentives no longer remain. The volume of information that now passes is monstrous; its ''quality'' is dismal. To the extent it is the only means of handling this volume, this is not e-discovery ''solving'' a problem. This is technology ''creating'' one.


We wonder, too, whether the advent of e-discovery has made litigation ''cheaper'', ''faster'' or ''more effective''. Litigation does not, generally, seem to be getting cheaper.<ref>As of the date of this article, there were 80,100 Google hits for [https://www.google.com/search?q=%22rising+costs+of+litigation%22 “rising costs of litigation”]. There were ''no'' results for [https://www.google.com/search?q=%22falling+costs+of+litigation%22 “falling costs of litigation”]. Now, we hope, there will be one.</ref>
We wonder, too, whether the advent of e-discovery has made litigation ''cheaper'', ''faster'' or ''more effective''. Litigation does not, generally, seem to be getting cheaper.<ref>As of the date of this article, there were 80,100 Google hits for [https://www.google.com/search?q=%22rising+costs+of+litigation%22 “rising costs of litigation”]. There were ''no'' results for [https://www.google.com/search?q=%22falling+costs+of+litigation%22 “falling costs of litigation”]. Now, we hope, there will be one.</ref>


Have commercial disputes become intrinsically more complicated since the information revolution, or is the formal convolution a function of how lazy technology has allowed us to become? Are drafting is worse. There are ten times as many documents, but is there any more ''signal'' or is it just a lot more ''noise''?  Is e-discovery really just an articulation of [[Parkinson’s law]] for the digital natives?
Have commercial disputes become intrinsically more complicated since the information revolution, or is their [[formal]] complication a function of how lazy technology has allowed us to become? There are ten times as many documents, but is there any more ''signal'', or is it just a lot more ''noise''?  Is e-discovery really just an articulation of [[Parkinson’s law]] for the digital natives?


Consider commercial litigation from a perspective rarely mentioned in the acres of [[Thought leader|thought-leadership]] on the topic: the [[customer]]’s. A commercial dispute has, from a plaintiff’s perspective,<ref>It may be different from a defendant’s perspective, but we doubt it: the univariate consideration is simply “should I immediately settle, or engage lawyers to commence the pantomime of driving down the settlement?”</ref> a reductively simple complexion.
A dispute has, from a plaintiff’s perspective,<ref>It may be different from a defendant’s perspective, but we doubt it: the univariate consideration is simply “should I immediately settle, or engage lawyers to commence the pantomime of driving down the settlement?”</ref> a reductively simple complexion:


“I believe I am entitled to value X, and I have received value Y”.<ref>Thought leaders and amateur psychologists will cavil at this and tell us that, no, sometimes the aggrieved just want their day in court. Not, I fancy, when they realise how much they will pay for the privilege.</ref>  
“I believe I am entitled to value X, but I have received value Y”.<ref>Thought leaders and amateur psychologists will cavil at this and tell us that, no, sometimes the aggrieved just want their day in court. Not, you fancy, when they realise how much they will pay for it.</ref>  


This is, in the vernacular, a [[univariate]] calculation. There is an amount to be claimed — ''X - Y'' — and a maximum amount one is prepared to pay to recover that amount — ''(X - Y)/n'' — where ''n'' will vary depending on the strength of customer’s original conviction, but logically must be greater than 1.  
This is, in the vernacular, a [[univariate]] calculation. There is an amount to be claimed — ''X - Y'' — and a maximum amount one is prepared to pay to recover that amount — ''(X - Y)/n'' — where ''n'' will vary depending on the strength of customer’s original conviction, but logically must be greater than 1.  


From the perspective of those engaged to help resolve the dispute, however, the problem is decidedly [[multivariate]]: how reasonable is your client’s assessment of its own chances; how solvent is the defendant; how likely is it to defend, how vigorously, and how skilfully, which forum is most convenient to resolve that dispute; how sympathetic is that forum liable to be — each of these factors one can assign a probabilistic assessment at best. They are [[known unknown]]s. The great skill of the advocate is to assess them: should the assessment come inside the customer’s calculation, there is a livelihood to be made.
For those engaged to help resolve the dispute, however, the problem is [[multivariate]]: how reasonable is your client’s assessment of its own chances; how solvent is the defendant; how likely is it to defend, how vigorously, and how skilfully, which forum is most convenient to resolve that dispute; how sympathetic is that forum likely to be — each of these factors one can assign a probabilistic assessment at best. They are [[known unknown]]s. The great skill of the advocate is to assess them: should the assessment come inside the customer’s calculation, there is a livelihood to be made.
 
The cost of discovery is part of that assessment. Since we can now analyse, tag and redact cheaply, more material is in scope for formalistic arguments.
 
Now no-one would suggest, God forbid, that lawyers gratuitously run down blind alleys to clock fees against their ''own'' clients, but it is a well-established technique to do this against the ''opponent’s'' client, precisely to present the cost of ongoing litigation as an incentive to early settlement.
 
We hypothesise, without any evidence whatsoever, that the number and type of documents having a measurable impact on the outcome of litigation is broadly the same in 2022 as it was in 1980. We doubt many documents of this nature would have been turned up by e-discovery but not manual discovery. That is to say, one would find all smoking guns (needles?) in the part of haystack one could search by hand, and not the great remainder that can only be covered by machines. If that is the case then we wonder whether e-discovery has made any difference to customer outcomes at all.
{{sa}}
{{sa}}
*[[Innovation paradox]]
*[[Innovation paradox]]

Latest revision as of 07:00, 23 April 2022

Discovery before the information revolution
In which the curmudgeonly old sod puts the world to rights.
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The JC rarely strays into matters of litigation, regarding court-based resolution of commercial disputes as a kind of admission of liability in itself.

But civil procedure is an interesting prism for a (literally) disinterested observer to view the promise — or existential threat — of legaltech. For while there are as many reasons for la révolution tardive as there are thought leaders to formulate them — more, in fact — all are as one when reaching for examples of how legal technology has already changed things for the better: e-Discovery is the anecdote of choice.

Once upon a time, before the internet was invented, the JC was a clerk in a commercial litigation firm in the antipodes. One of the most tedious jobs was preparing lists of documents for discovery — disclosure to the opposing side — in forthcoming litigation. There could be hundreds of relevant documents. Even thousands.[1] The poor clerks had to identify each, name it, date it, record by whom it was sent and to whom, and designate its privilege.

Now this being before email — the fax machines was à la mode — there weren’t that many documents, nor any automated means of cataloguing them.

How times have changed. The information revolution has created not just a new class of electronic documents with new classes of metadata but a whole new volume of information: the ease of creating, changing, duplicating and circulating means that the number of potentially relevant documents is as likely to be be in the millions as the thousands.

Automated tools, using neural networks, machine learning and other kinds of AI have emerged to handle discovery analytics.

Parkinson’s law for the digital age?

What follows is a needlessly formal argument for the proposition “the cost a person will incur to resolve a dispute is a function of the amount at stake and the merit of her claim and not the tools available to conduct the litigation”. In other words, benefits of legaltech accrue to practitioners and not customers.

Those selling e-discovery platforms doubtless are thrilled at this technical revolution. Perhaps, too, court lawyers — though there is an element of an arms race about it. But the question we pose is a different one: how has legaltech in general, and e-discovery in particular, contributed to legal outcomes for clients?

E-discovery exists to solve a problem that was only created by technology in the first place. As we have remarked elsewhere, before the advent of email — before lawyers had screens on desktops and were dependent on paying someone to put their words onto paper, the very act of generating a document, let alone sending one, was orders of magnitude more difficult and expensive. This provided strong incentives not to create unnecessary documents and to make sure the documents one did create were short and to the point.

These incentives no longer remain. The volume of information that now passes is monstrous; its quality is dismal. To the extent it is the only means of handling this volume, this is not e-discovery solving a problem. This is technology creating one.

We wonder, too, whether the advent of e-discovery has made litigation cheaper, faster or more effective. Litigation does not, generally, seem to be getting cheaper.[2]

Have commercial disputes become intrinsically more complicated since the information revolution, or is their formal complication a function of how lazy technology has allowed us to become? There are ten times as many documents, but is there any more signal, or is it just a lot more noise? Is e-discovery really just an articulation of Parkinson’s law for the digital natives?

A dispute has, from a plaintiff’s perspective,[3] a reductively simple complexion:

“I believe I am entitled to value X, but I have received value Y”.[4]

This is, in the vernacular, a univariate calculation. There is an amount to be claimed — X - Y — and a maximum amount one is prepared to pay to recover that amount — (X - Y)/n — where n will vary depending on the strength of customer’s original conviction, but logically must be greater than 1.

For those engaged to help resolve the dispute, however, the problem is multivariate: how reasonable is your client’s assessment of its own chances; how solvent is the defendant; how likely is it to defend, how vigorously, and how skilfully, which forum is most convenient to resolve that dispute; how sympathetic is that forum likely to be — each of these factors one can assign a probabilistic assessment at best. They are known unknowns. The great skill of the advocate is to assess them: should the assessment come inside the customer’s calculation, there is a livelihood to be made.

The cost of discovery is part of that assessment. Since we can now analyse, tag and redact cheaply, more material is in scope for formalistic arguments.

Now no-one would suggest, God forbid, that lawyers gratuitously run down blind alleys to clock fees against their own clients, but it is a well-established technique to do this against the opponent’s client, precisely to present the cost of ongoing litigation as an incentive to early settlement.

We hypothesise, without any evidence whatsoever, that the number and type of documents having a measurable impact on the outcome of litigation is broadly the same in 2022 as it was in 1980. We doubt many documents of this nature would have been turned up by e-discovery but not manual discovery. That is to say, one would find all smoking guns (needles?) in the part of haystack one could search by hand, and not the great remainder that can only be covered by machines. If that is the case then we wonder whether e-discovery has made any difference to customer outcomes at all.

See also

References

  1. In a huge, high-profile case of the sort the JC never saw, conceivably hundreds of thousands.
  2. As of the date of this article, there were 80,100 Google hits for “rising costs of litigation”. There were no results for “falling costs of litigation”. Now, we hope, there will be one.
  3. It may be different from a defendant’s perspective, but we doubt it: the univariate consideration is simply “should I immediately settle, or engage lawyers to commence the pantomime of driving down the settlement?”
  4. Thought leaders and amateur psychologists will cavil at this and tell us that, no, sometimes the aggrieved just want their day in court. Not, you fancy, when they realise how much they will pay for it.