Signs of the forthcoming apocalypse: Difference between revisions

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{{a|g|}}In March 2021 it seemed as good a time as any to start compiling signs of the forthcoming [[apocalypse]]. Now as we all know apocalypses can stay irrational a lot longer than I can stay sober, so I can’t make any definitive call as to ''when'' we are going into the abyss, but, as sure as death, taxes and rice-pudding we are, and there are good signs it must be soon. So, to keep me company while I load up the Oldsmobile with shotgun cartridges and tins of spam, and with feeling, but in no particular order:
{{a|g|}}I am no financial wizard, readers, but I’m getting the sense the market just feels a bit toppy. This a detect not by reference to an unusual contango in the front-month Brent Crude contract — any experts reading will know at once I am not even sure what that is — nor because of non-farm payroll data, nor mean-reversion in the residential real estate market (ditto, ditto), but because sensible investors are doing plainly bonkers things.
 
In March 2021 it seemed as good a time as any to start compiling signs of the forthcoming [[apocalypse]]. Now as we all know, apocalypses can stay irrational a lot longer than I can stay sober, so I can’t make any definitive call as to ''when'' we are going into the abyss, but, as sure as death, taxes and rice-pudding we are, and there signs it might be soon. So, to keep me company while I load up the van with shotgun cartridges and tins of spam, and with feeling, but in no particular order:


*[[Bitcoin]] (1) existing; (2) having a value greater than nil; (3) staying in existence for even after one obviously speculative bubble in 2018 (4) continuing to stay in existence for three years; and (5) having ''another'' blatantly obvious speculative bubble, three times bigger than the first one; (6) TESLA blowing a billion and a half on bitcoin at the top of the speculative bubble.
*[[Bitcoin]] (1) existing; (2) having a value greater than nil; (3) staying in existence for even after one obviously speculative bubble in 2018 (4) continuing to stay in existence for three years; and (5) having ''another'' blatantly obvious speculative bubble, three times bigger than the first one; (6) TESLA blowing a billion and a half on bitcoin at the top of the speculative bubble.
*[[Tesla]] having a market cap of $800bn (the same as the total market cap of the next NINE biggest auto manufacturers)
*[[Tesla]] having a bigger market cap of $800bn than the next NINE biggest auto manufacturers put together
*[[Special purpose acquisition companies]].
*[[Special purpose acquisition companies]].
*Talk of “liberalising” London’s listing rules to allow for [[SPAC]]s
*Talk of “liberalising” London’s listing rules to allow for [[SPAC]]s
*[[Non-fungible token]]s are selling. Even ones of an artwork ''actually called “[[Morons]]”''.
*[[Non-fungible token]]s are selling. Even ones of an artwork ''actually called “[[Morons]]”''.

Revision as of 22:08, 8 March 2021

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I am no financial wizard, readers, but I’m getting the sense the market just feels a bit toppy. This a detect not by reference to an unusual contango in the front-month Brent Crude contract — any experts reading will know at once I am not even sure what that is — nor because of non-farm payroll data, nor mean-reversion in the residential real estate market (ditto, ditto), but because sensible investors are doing plainly bonkers things.

In March 2021 it seemed as good a time as any to start compiling signs of the forthcoming apocalypse. Now as we all know, apocalypses can stay irrational a lot longer than I can stay sober, so I can’t make any definitive call as to when we are going into the abyss, but, as sure as death, taxes and rice-pudding we are, and there signs it might be soon. So, to keep me company while I load up the van with shotgun cartridges and tins of spam, and with feeling, but in no particular order:

  • Bitcoin (1) existing; (2) having a value greater than nil; (3) staying in existence for even after one obviously speculative bubble in 2018 (4) continuing to stay in existence for three years; and (5) having another blatantly obvious speculative bubble, three times bigger than the first one; (6) TESLA blowing a billion and a half on bitcoin at the top of the speculative bubble.
  • Tesla having a bigger market cap of $800bn than the next NINE biggest auto manufacturers put together
  • Special purpose acquisition companies.
  • Talk of “liberalising” London’s listing rules to allow for SPACs
  • Non-fungible tokens are selling. Even ones of an artwork actually called “Morons.