Unknowns

From The Jolly Contrarian
Revision as of 14:55, 21 May 2019 by Amwelladmin (talk | contribs)
Jump to navigation Jump to search
Risk Anatomy™
Tell me more
Sign up for our newsletter — or just get in touch: for ½ a weekly 🍺 you get to consult JC. Ask about it here.


Say what you like about the neocons, but this, from Donald Rumsfeld was a modern classic:

Reports that say that something hasn't happened are always interesting to me, because as we know, there are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns—the ones we don't know we don't know. And if one looks throughout the history of our country and other free countries, it is the latter category that tend to be the difficult ones.

Rumsfeld’s knowns and unknowns

Not included (because perhaps it doesn't seem to make much sense at first) is the unknown known, but before you write this off, well - see Financial Services Modernization Act of 1999 for the sorts of things a well-ordered market can forget over sixty odd years.