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Complex system: Difference between revisions
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{{a|devil|{{subtable|{{complex capsule}}}}}} | {{a|devil|{{subtable|{{complex capsule}}}}}} | ||
===You can’t eliminate the risk, so focus on ''managing'' it=== | ===You can’t eliminate the risk, so focus on ''managing'' it=== | ||
''Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the mouth.'' | :''Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the mouth.'' | ||
::—Mike Tyson | ::—Mike Tyson | ||
A traditional risk manager will be conditioned to using control techniques to anticipate and eliminate all risk. In a [[complex system]] this is simply not possible. One must instead depend on local managers and experts making spontaneous decisions to address the unfortunate situation as they see it and under conditions of significant uncertainty. A [[complex system]] is not totally random — in that case any action would be as good as any other — so some control is possible, but it is ''not'' possible to prescribe in advance what that action should be. | A traditional risk manager will be conditioned to using control techniques to anticipate and eliminate all risk. In a [[complex system]] this is simply not possible. One must instead depend on local managers and experts making spontaneous decisions to address the unfortunate situation as they see it and under conditions of significant uncertainty. A [[complex system]] is not totally random — in that case any action would be as good as any other — so some control is possible, but it is ''not'' possible to prescribe in advance what that action should be. | ||